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International mathematical epidemiological study for future prediction about mortality of hepatocellular carcinoma with districts and birth year

Research Project

Project/Area Number 24590793
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Public health/Health science
Research InstitutionHiroshima University

Principal Investigator

TANAKA Junko  広島大学, 医歯薬保健学研究院, 教授 (70155266)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) KATAYAMA Keiko  広島大学, 大学院医歯薬保健学研究院, 講師 (50304415)
MATSUO Junko  広島大学, 大学院医歯薬保健学研究院, 助教 (70570232)
AKITA Tomoyuki  広島大学, 大学院医歯薬保健学研究院, 特任助教 (80609925)
Research Collaborator Michael Busch  サンフランシスコ血液センター, Prof.
Miriam J Alter  CDC, Dr.
Zanevskaia Liudmila Iosyphovna  , Dr.
Nguyen Van Nhon  , ビントン県保健局長
Do Huy Son  , ベトナムのビントン県保健所長
Svay Somana  カンボジア保健省
Lim Olline  カンボジア保健省
Project Period (FY) 2012-04-01 – 2015-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2014)
Budget Amount *help
¥5,460,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,260,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥390,000 (Direct Cost: ¥300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥90,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥1,820,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥420,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥3,250,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥750,000)
Keywords肝炎肝癌対策 / 国際情報交換 / 感染症 / 数理疫学モデル / 肝炎ウイルス感染 / 肝癌死亡 / カンボジア / ベトナム / 衛生学 / 疫学 / 数理疫学 / カンボジア王国 / ベトナム社会主義共和国 / 肝炎ウイルス / 血清疫学調査 / 国際共同研究 / アメリカ合衆国 / ウクライナ共和国
Outline of Final Research Achievements

We investigated prevalence of HBV and HCV infections among general population in Cambodia and Vietnam by the epidemiological surveys. Prevalence of HBsAg, anti-HCV and HCV RNA were 4.6%,5.8%, 2.3% in Cambodia and 15.3%, 3.3% and 1.8% in Vietnam. We have simulated the mortality due to hepatocellular carcinoma by the age-period-cohort (APC) model with use of sex- and age-specific mortality data during 1940 through 2010 in Japan for the purpose of validating the utility and assessing the limitation of this model. The observed HCC mortality in 2010 in males was lower than the predicted, and corresponded to 72.3% of the predicted data. This would be attributed to combined effects of medical interventions, such as antiviral treatments and screening for hepatitis viruses implemented.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2014 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • 2012 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (55 results)

All 2015 2014 2013 2012

All Journal Article (17 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 11 results) Presentation (30 results) (of which Invited: 8 results) Book (8 results)

  • [Journal Article] High prevalence of hepatitis B and C virus infections among adults living in Binh Thuan province, Vietnam2015

    • Author(s)
      Do S H, Yamada H, Fujimoto M, Ohisa M, Matsuo J, Akita T, Katayama K, Van Nguyen N, Miyakawa Y, Tanaka J
    • Journal Title

      Hepatology Research

      Volume: 45 Issue: 3 Pages: 259-68

    • DOI

      10.1111/hepr.12350

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 1.Estimation number of patients with liver disease related to hepatitis B or C virus infection based on the database reconstructed from the medial claim from 2008 to 2010 in Japan2015

    • Author(s)
      Ohisa M, Kimura Y, Matsuo J, Akita T, Matsuoka T, Sakamune K, Katayama K, Do H S, Miyakawa Y, Tanaka J
    • Journal Title

      Hepatology Research

      Volume: 0 Issue: 12 Pages: 0-0

    • DOI

      10.1111/hepr.12497

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Estimating numbers of persons with persistent hepatitis B virus infection transmitted vertically and horizontally in the birth cohort during 1950-1985 in Japan2014

    • Author(s)
      Sato T, Do H S, Asao T, Akita T, Katayama K, Tatara K, Miyakawa Y, Tanaka J,
    • Journal Title

      Hepatology Research

      Volume: in press Issue: 10 Pages: 1-8

    • DOI

      10.1111/hepr.12288

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report 2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Validation and limitation of age-period-cohort model in simulating mortality due to hepatocellular carcinoma from 1940 to 2010 in Japan2013

    • Author(s)
      Akita T, Ohisa M, Kimura Y, Fujimoto M, Miyakawa Y, Tanaka J
    • Journal Title

      Hepatology Research

      Volume: (in press) Issue: 7 Pages: 1-7

    • DOI

      10.1111/hepr.12177

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report 2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Report from a Viral Hepatitis Policy Forum on implementing the WHO framework for global action on viral hepatitis in North Asia2013

    • Author(s)
      Chen D-S, Locarnini S, Wait S, Bae SH, Chen PJ, Fung JY, Kim HS, Lu SN, Sung J, Tanaka J, Wakita T, Ward J, Wallace J
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Hepatology

      Volume: 59(5) Issue: 5 Pages: 1073-1080

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jhep.2013.06.029

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Characteristics of elderly hepatitis C virus-associated hepatocellular carcinoma patients2013

    • Author(s)
      Kumada T, Toyoda H, Kiriyama S, Tanikawa M, Hisanaga Y, Kanamori A, Tada T, Tanaka J
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology

      Volume: 28 Pages: 357-364

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report 2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Effect of nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy on hepatocarcinogenesis in chronic hepatitis B patients: a propensity score analysis2013

    • Author(s)
      Kumada T, Toyoda H, Tada T, Kiriyama S, Tanikawa M, Hisanaga Y, Kanamori A, Niinomi T, Yasuda S, Ando Y, Yamamoto K, Tanaka J
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Hepatology

      Volume: 58 Pages: 427-433

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report 2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] C型肝炎はどのように日本で蔓延し肝癌をもたらしたのか -肝癌抑制の実地診療のすすめかた-2013

    • Author(s)
      田中純子
    • Journal Title

      Medical Practice

      Volume: 30 Pages: 194-202

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 岡山県における肝炎ウイルス検診陽性者の医療機関受診等に関する追跡調査2013

    • Author(s)
      仁科惣治、栗原淳子、則安俊昭、糸島達也、山本和秀、田中純子、日野啓輔
    • Journal Title

      肝臓

      Volume: 54 Pages: 84-86

    • NAID

      10031144325

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] B型肝炎の疫学 -キャリア率,キャリア数について-2013

    • Author(s)
      田中純子、片山惠子
    • Journal Title

      最新医学

      Volume: 68 Pages: 14-21

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Follow up of the 987 blood donors found with hepatitis C virus infection over 9-18 years.2012

    • Author(s)
      Matsuo J, Mizui M, Okita H, Katayama K, Aimitsu S, Sakata T, Obayashi M, Nakanishi T, Chayama K, Miyakawa Y, Yoshizawa H, Tanaka J, ( Hiroshima Hepatitis Study Group)
    • Journal Title

      Hepatology Research

      Volume: 42 Issue: 7 Pages: 637-647

    • DOI

      10.1111/j.1872-034x.2012.00966.x

    • NAID

      10031144280

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] わが国におけるB型肝炎・C型肝炎ウイルスキャリアの現状2012

    • Author(s)
      田中純子
    • Journal Title

      化学療法の領域

      Volume: 28 Pages: 18-27

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] B型肝炎に関する疫学調査の最新情報2012

    • Author(s)
      田中純子
    • Journal Title

      医学のあゆみ

      Volume: 242 Pages: 373-380

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] わが国におけるC型肝炎の疫学2012

    • Author(s)
      田中純子
    • Journal Title

      臨牀消化器内科

      Volume: 27 Pages: 1413-1422

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Comprehensive miRNA expression analysis in peripheral blood can diagnose liver disease.2012

    • Author(s)
      Murakami Y, Toyoda H, Tanahashi T, Tanaka J, KumadaT, Yoshioka Y, Kosaka N, OchiyaT, Taguchi YH.
    • Journal Title

      PLoS ONE

      Volume: 7(10) Issue: 10 Pages: e48366-e48366

    • DOI

      10.1371/journal.pone.0048366

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 肝炎ウイルス検査の受診状況等に関する聞き取り調査報告2012

    • Author(s)
      片山惠子、松尾順子、秋田智之、田渕文子、酒井明人、田中純子
    • Journal Title

      肝臓

      Volume: 53 Pages: 707-720

    • NAID

      10031127975

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] わが国における肝癌の疫学2012

    • Author(s)
      田中純子、三浦宜彦
    • Journal Title

      肝胆膵

      Volume: 65 Pages: 985-992

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Sero-epidemiological study on hepatitis B and C virus infection among school students in Siem Reap, Cambodia2015

    • Author(s)
      Fujimoto M, Yamada H, Matsuoka T, Akita T, Ohisa M, Lim O, Hok S, Do S H, Goto N, Katayama K, Svay S, Tanaka J
    • Organizer
      第25回日本疫学会学術総会
    • Place of Presentation
      名古屋
    • Year and Date
      2015-01-23
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Epidemiology of hepatitis B in Japan2014

    • Author(s)
      Tanaka J
    • Organizer
      The 11th JSH Single Topic Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      広島
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-20
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Estimating transition of liver disease caused by persistent infection of hepatitis B virus using the Markov Model2014

    • Author(s)
      Ohisa M, Yamasaki K, Sakamune K, Matsuo J, Sato T, Katayama K, Tanaka J
    • Organizer
      The 11th JSH Single Topic Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      広島
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-20
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 職域集団における肝炎ウイルス感染状況及び検査普及状況2014

    • Author(s)
      海嶋照美、松岡俊彦、藤井紀子、山田裕子、片山恵子、田中純子,
    • Organizer
      第73回日本公衆衛生学会総会
    • Place of Presentation
      栃木
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-05
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] B型肝炎ウイルスキャリアの病態推移に関する理論疫学的研究-セロコンバージョンの時期別(35歳,40歳)有無別にみた病態推移の比較-2014

    • Author(s)
      大久真幸、山崎一美、松尾順子、片山惠子、田中純子
    • Organizer
      第18回日本肝臓学会大会(JDDW)
    • Place of Presentation
      兵庫(神戸)
    • Year and Date
      2014-10-23
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 有限状態マルコフ連鎖モデルにおける状態分布の将来予測と推定精度2014

    • Author(s)
      秋田智之、大久真幸、坂宗和明、田中純子
    • Organizer
      2014年度統計関連学会連合大会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Year and Date
      2014-09-14
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Hepatitis C and B virus screening in Japan and its control2014

    • Author(s)
      Tanaka J, Katayama K, Kaishima T, Fujii T, Akita T, Ohisa M,
    • Organizer
      AASLD/EASL Special Conference on Hepatitis C
    • Place of Presentation
      アメリカ(ニューヨーク)
    • Year and Date
      2014-09-12
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] アジアにおけるE型肝炎感染状況調査結果-カンボジアとベトナムでの肝炎ウイルス感染状況調査-2014

    • Author(s)
      山田裕子、Do Huy Son、松尾順子、海嶋照美、木村友希、片山惠子、田中純子
    • Organizer
      第50回日本肝臓学会総会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Year and Date
      2014-05-30
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Sero-epidemiological study on hepatitis viral infection among school students in Cambodia2014

    • Author(s)
      Fujimoto M, Yamada H, Akita T, Lim O, Hok S, Matsuo J, Go Y, Do H S, Goto N, Katayama K, Svay S, Tanaka J
    • Organizer
      第3回放射線災害復興を推進するフェニックスリーダー育成プログラム国際シンポジウム
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Hepatitis B and C virus infections among the general population in the South of Vietnam: seroprevalence, genotypic distribution and risk factors.2014

    • Author(s)
      Do H S, Yamada H, Fujimoto M, Sato T, Kaishima T, Matsuoka T, Fujii T, Ohisa M, Go Y, Matsuo J, Katayama K, Nguyen V N, Tanaka J
    • Organizer
      第3回放射線災害復興を推進するフェニックスリーダー育成プログラム国際シンポジウム
    • Place of Presentation
      広島
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Risk factors for hepatitis viral infections (HBV, HCV) among adults in Cambodia based on the sero-epidemiological study2014

    • Author(s)
      Yamada H, Fujimoto M, Ohisa M, Lim O, Hok S, Matsuo J, Go Y, Do H S, Goto N, Katayama K, Svay S, Tanaka J
    • Organizer
      第3回放射線災害復興を推進するフェニックスリーダー育成プログラム国際シンポジウム
    • Place of Presentation
      広島
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] B型・C型肝炎ウイルス感染の疫学2013

    • Author(s)
      田中純子
    • Organizer
      第67回地方衛生研究所全国協議会 中国四国支部会議
    • Place of Presentation
      広島
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Study on hepatitis viral infection among school students in Cambodia2013

    • Author(s)
      Fujimoto M, Yamada H, Akita T, Lim O, Hok S, Matsuo J, Go Y, Do H S, Goto N, Katayama K, Svay S, Tanaka J
    • Organizer
      APASL(Asian Paciffic Association for the Study of the Liver 2013)
    • Place of Presentation
      シンガポール
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] The sero-epidemiological study on hepatitis viral infections among adults in Cambodia2013

    • Author(s)
      Yamada H, Fujimoto M, Ohisa M, Lim O, Hok S, Matsuo J, Go Y, Do H S, Toto N, Katayama K, Svay S, Tanaka J
    • Organizer
      APASL(Asian Paciffic Association for the Study of the Liver 2013)
    • Place of Presentation
      シンガポール
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 肝癌死亡率の予測に関するAPCモデルを用いた解析の試み2013

    • Author(s)
      田中 純子
    • Organizer
      第72回日本癌学会学術総会
    • Place of Presentation
      横浜
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] ウイルス肝炎の疫学と対策最前線2013

    • Author(s)
      田中 純子
    • Organizer
      第46回日本臨床衛生検査技師会中四国支部医学検査学会
    • Place of Presentation
      広島
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] The sero-epidemiological study on the prevalence of hepatitis B and C virus infections among general population in Binh Thuan, Vietnam2013

    • Author(s)
      Do H S, Matsuo J, Akita T, Katayama K, Nguyen V N, Tanaka J
    • Organizer
      第23回日本疫学会学術総会
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Study on hepatitis viral infection among school students in Cambodia2013

    • Author(s)
      Fujimoto M, Yamada H, Akita T, Lim O, Hok S, Matsuo J, Go Y, Do H S, Goto N, Katayama K, Svay S, Tanaka J
    • Organizer
      放射線災害復興を推進するフェニックスリーダー育成プログラム国際シンポジウム
    • Place of Presentation
      広島
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] The Sero-epidemiological study on hepatitis viral infections among adults in Cambodia2013

    • Author(s)
      Yamada H, Fujimoto M, Ohisa M, Lim O, Hok S, Matsuo J, Go Y, Do H S, Goto N, Katayama K, Svay S, Tanaka J
    • Organizer
      放射線災害復興を推進するフェニックスリーダー育成プログラム国際シンポジウム
    • Place of Presentation
      広島
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Association of hepatitis C virus infection with mortality in patients on chronic hemodialysis2013

    • Author(s)
      Asao T, Matsuo J, Akita T, Nakashima A, Katayama K, Tanaka J
    • Organizer
      放射線災害復興を推進するフェニックスリーダー育成プログラム国際シンポジウム
    • Place of Presentation
      広島
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 我が国における肝炎ウイルス感染者数の推計について-社会における存在状態4分類別にみた検討-2012

    • Author(s)
      田中純子
    • Organizer
      第48回日本肝臓学会総会
    • Place of Presentation
      金沢
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 透析患者における肝炎ウイルス感染状況の推移と予後についての解析の試み2012

    • Author(s)
      松尾順子、片山惠子、 中島歩、 田中純子、 広島透析患者肝炎study group
    • Organizer
      第48回日本肝臓学会総会
    • Place of Presentation
      金沢
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] topics on hepatitis C and hepatitis B from an epidemiological viewpoint2012

    • Author(s)
      田中純子
    • Organizer
      ACCJ(American Chamber of Commerce in Japan) Luncheon speech
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Etiological-based mathematical model for hepatocellular carcinoma mortality2012

    • Author(s)
      Akita T, Ohisa M, Tanaka J
    • Organizer
      XXVIth International Biometric Conference (2012 IBC)
    • Place of Presentation
      兵庫
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 肝炎ウイルス持続感染者の病態推移に関する数理疫学的研究2012

    • Author(s)
      田中純子、小山富子、池田健次
    • Organizer
      第16回日本肝臓学会大会
    • Place of Presentation
      神戸
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Epidemiological studies from Japan2012

    • Author(s)
      Tanaka J
    • Organizer
      Viral hepatitis policy forum and workshop -North Asia-(CEVHAP)
    • Place of Presentation
      台湾(台北)
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Hepatitis C in Japan2012

    • Author(s)
      Tanaka J
    • Organizer
      The 10th JSH single topic conference
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] カンボジア王国における肝炎ウイルス感染状況の把握のための血清疫学的調査-成人に対する調査結果-2012

    • Author(s)
      山田裕子、大久真幸、Lim Olline、Hok Sirany、松尾順子、郷裕子、藤本真弓、秋田智之、Do Huy Son、後藤昇、片山惠子、Svay Somana、田中純子
    • Organizer
      第10回日本予防医学会学術総会
    • Place of Presentation
      広島
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] カンボジア王国における肝炎ウイルス感染状況把握のための血清疫学調査研究-ササースダム小学校3年生に対する調査結果-2012

    • Author(s)
      藤本真弓、大久真幸、Lim Olline、Hok Sirany、松尾順子、郷裕子、山田裕子、秋田智之、Do Huy Son、後藤昇、片山惠子、Svay Somana、田中純子
    • Organizer
      第10回日本予防医学会学術総会
    • Place of Presentation
      広島
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 職域集団における肝炎ウイルス感染状況-パイロット調査による肝炎ウイルス検査結果-2012

    • Author(s)
      片山惠子、松尾順子、藤井紀子、原川貴之、田中純子
    • Organizer
      第56回 中国四国合同産業衛生学会
    • Place of Presentation
      岡山
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 肝がん、「肝がんの疫学」2015

    • Author(s)
      田中純子、秋田智之
    • Total Pages
      8
    • Publisher
      最新医学社
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] HEPATOLOGY PRACTICE, 「HCV感染の疫学・感染経路,」2014

    • Author(s)
      田中純子
    • Total Pages
      7
    • Publisher
      文光堂
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 肝疾患 2014-2015 Review, 「HCV感染の疫学の現況と今後」2014

    • Author(s)
      田中純子
    • Total Pages
      6
    • Publisher
      日本メディカルセンター
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 診断と治療,「疫学的視点からみた肝炎対策-肝炎の地域連携,公費助成制度-」2014

    • Author(s)
      田中純子
    • Total Pages
      7
    • Publisher
      診断と治療社
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Annual Review 消化器2013

    • Author(s)
      片山惠子、田中純子
    • Total Pages
      314
    • Publisher
      中外医学社
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report 2012 Research-status Report
  • [Book] B型肝炎 最新治療コンセンサス2013

    • Author(s)
      田中純子
    • Total Pages
      200
    • Publisher
      医歯薬出版株式会社
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Book] de novo B型肝炎2013

    • Author(s)
      田中純子、片山恵子、松尾順子
    • Total Pages
      175
    • Publisher
      医薬ジャーナル社
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Book] HEPATOLOGY PRACTICE2013

    • Author(s)
      田中純子
    • Total Pages
      205
    • Publisher
      文光堂
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report

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Published: 2013-05-31   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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