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An empirical analyses about the influence of Japanese monetary policy on industrial sectors and firms using futures interest rates

Research Project

Project/Area Number 24730255
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Economic policy
Research InstitutionKyoto Sangyo University (2013-2014)
Ritsumeikan University (2012)

Principal Investigator

AONO Kohei  京都産業大学, 経営学部, 准教授 (20513146)

Project Period (FY) 2012-04-01 – 2015-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2014)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,770,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥870,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Keywords金融政策 / ファイナンス / 株式市場 / 家計調査 / 資産価格モデル / 時系列分析 / 債券市場
Outline of Final Research Achievements

To analyze the effects of monetary policy, we need to distinguish “expected” monetary policy with market participants from “unexpected”. In this study, we distinguish “expected” from “unexpected” monetary policy focusing on the difference in information between futures interest rate (that is, Tomorrow Next call rate) and regular interest rate (that is, Call Rate). We analyze the effects of Japanese monetary policy using these “expected” and “unexpected” monetary policy variables. In full sample data, “unexpected” monetary policy has a significant positive influence on market rates (that is, LIBOR rate). Moreover, not only “unexpected” monetary policy but “expected” has a certain significant positive influence on market rates in the quantitative easing policy sample data.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2014 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • 2012 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (10 results)

All 2014 2013 2012 Other

All Journal Article (4 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 1 results) Presentation (6 results)

  • [Journal Article] 消費/資産比率、不動産資産と日本の株式市場2014

    • Author(s)
      青野幸平 祝迫得夫
    • Journal Title

      住宅土地経済

      Volume: 91 Pages: 20-28

    • NAID

      40019929505

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Estimation and Inference in Predictive Regressions2013

    • Author(s)
      Eiji Kurozumi Kohei AONO
    • Journal Title

      Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics

      Volume: 54(2) Pages: 231-250

    • NAID

      120005359930

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] The Consumption-Wealth Ratio, Real Estate Wealth and the Japanese Stock Market2013

    • Author(s)
      Aono, Kohei and Iwaisako, Tokuo
    • Journal Title

      Japan and the World Economy

      Volume: 25(1) Pages: 39-51

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.japwor.2012.11.001

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Tomorrow Next データを用いた金融政策の分析2012

    • Author(s)
      青野幸平
    • Journal Title

      物価研究センターWorking Paper

      Volume: No.7 Pages: 1-35

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 産業別の金融政策効果について2014

    • Author(s)
      青野幸平
    • Organizer
      第4回マクロ政策分析研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      京都産業大学(京都府)
    • Year and Date
      2014-08-09
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 所得階層別データと株式収益率のクロスセクションによる消費資産価格モデルの検証2013

    • Author(s)
      青野幸平
    • Organizer
      第二回マクロ政策分析研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      新潟産業大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 所得階層別データと株式収益率のクロスセクションによる消費資産価格モデルの検証2013

    • Author(s)
      青野幸平
    • Organizer
      第15回経済理論・政策ワークショップ
    • Place of Presentation
      青山学院大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 所得階層別データと株式収益率のクロスセクションによる消費資産価格モデルの検証

    • Author(s)
      青野幸平・祝迫得夫
    • Organizer
      日本ファイナンス学会第20回大会
    • Place of Presentation
      一橋大学神田キャンパス・東京都
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 所得階層別データと株式収益率のクロスセクションによる消費資産価格モデルの検証

    • Author(s)
      青野幸平・祝迫得夫
    • Organizer
      Ritsumeikan Conference on Financial Economics 2012
    • Place of Presentation
      立命館大学大阪キャンパス・大阪府
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] The Analysis of Japanese Monetary Policy~An Empirical Examination Using Tomorrow Next Data~

    • Author(s)
      Aono, Kohei
    • Organizer
      第131回マクロ経済学研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪大学中之島センター・大阪府
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report

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Published: 2013-05-31   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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