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Development of the Probabilistic Health risk Assessment for quantification of the living body defense function

Research Project

Project/Area Number 24860073
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Research Activity Start-up

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Research Field Nuclear engineering
Research InstitutionJapan Atomic Energy Agency

Principal Investigator

SHIMADA Kazumasa  独立行政法人日本原子力研究開発機構, 安全研究・防災支援部門 安全研究センター, 研究員 (30636866)

Project Period (FY) 2012-08-31 – 2014-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2013)
Budget Amount *help
¥1,950,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥450,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Keywords放射線リスク / 発がんモデル / ベイズ推定 / 状態空間モデル / 原爆被爆者 / 突然変異 / 確率論的リスク評価
Research Abstract

To develop cancer risk assessment method of radiation considering biological defense function, a state space model which is one of the Bayesian statistic model was used to combine the Two-Stage Clonal Expansion (TSCE) model and the latest cohort data of atomic bomb survivors in Hiroshima and Nagasaki. In addition, this state space model was estimated to TSCE model parameters (mutation, birth, death rates), and these variety of parameters changing age at exposed, attached age and radiation dose were studied.

Report

(3 results)
  • 2013 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2012 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (6 results)

All 2014 2013 Other

All Presentation (3 results) Book (1 results) Remarks (2 results)

  • [Presentation] 状態空間モデルを用いた放射線による発がんリスク評価に関する研究2014

    • Author(s)
      嶋田和真
    • Organizer
      日本原子力学会「2014年春の年会」
    • Place of Presentation
      東京、東京都市大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 状態空間モデルを用いた放射線による発がんリスク評価に関する研究2014

    • Author(s)
      嶋田和真
    • Organizer
      日本原子力学会2014 年春の年会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 福島第一原子力発電所事故により放出されたヨウ素131化学形存在割合の推定2013

    • Author(s)
      嶋田和真,木村仁宣,高原省五,飯島正史,永瀬文久,本間俊充
    • Organizer
      日本保健物理学会第46 回研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      千葉
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 著日本保健物理学会「暮らしの放射線Q&A活動委員会」「専門家が答える暮らしの放射線Q&A」2013

    • Author(s)
      嶋田和真他
    • Total Pages
      396
    • Publisher
      朝日出版社
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Remarks] 「専門家が答える暮らしの放射線Q&A」日本 保健物理学会

    • URL

      http://radi-info.com/

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Remarks] 専門家が答える暮らしの放射線Q&A

    • URL

      http://web.archive.org/web/20131203131715/http:/radi-info.com/

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2012-11-27   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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