| Project/Area Number |
25380349
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| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
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| Allocation Type | Multi-year Fund |
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| Section | 一般 |
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| Research Field |
Economic policy
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| Research Institution | Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization |
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Principal Investigator |
Kumagai Satoru 独立行政法人日本貿易振興機構アジア経済研究所, 新領域研究センター, 経済地理研究グループ長 (20450504)
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| Project Period (FY) |
2013-04-01 – 2017-03-31
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| Project Status |
Completed (Fiscal Year 2016)
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| Budget Amount *help |
¥2,210,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥510,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
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| Keywords | 中所得国の罠 / 経済発展 / 貿易構造 / 純輸出比率 / 産業高度化 / 資源の罠 / 雁行形態論 / 資源の呪い / 中進国の罠 / マレーシア |
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| Outline of Final Research Achievements |
By combining macro-economic and trade data analysis with industry and firm-level observations, this research project tries to critically analyze the threat that the middle-income trap poses to East Asian countries at present and in the near future, and to identify the mechanism behind the trap if it really exists.
I conduct an empirical analysis on the relationship between income level and net export ratios (NXRs) for different types of goods for trapped and non-trapped samples separately. The findings indicate that non-trapped countries successfully upgrade their export goods while trapped-countries continue to depend on the export of primary commodities. The negative correlation between the NXRs of consumption and capital goods and that of primary commodities suggests the existence of a ‘resource curse.’
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