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Land Use Models for Asessing Urban Land Use Policies

Research Project

Project/Area Number 25512008
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field 土地・住宅・不動産研究
Research InstitutionTokyo University of Science

Principal Investigator

ARAI Takeshi  東京理科大学, 理工学部, 教授 (60126266)

Project Period (FY) 2013-04-01 – 2016-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2015)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,160,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥960,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Keywords土地利用 / セルオートマトン / 住宅・宅地政策 / シミュレーション / セル・オートマトン / 住宅・宅地政策 / 空間利用 / 政策評価
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This study aims to create an integrated model by which local governments in Japan can estimate and evaluate the effects of the urban land use policies on their communities. Long term dynamics of land use on individual block, the size of which is about 1 ha, will be simulated by the model. Within the fixed research period, two simulation models, which are the essential components of the integrated model, were constructed after the precise analyses of the data which were processed out of maps, quoted from statistical books and collected by the independent survey. One is a microscopic model of the urbanizing process and the decision and behavior of the individual head of a family in the housing market is simulated. The other is a cellular automata based model of the long term land use change in units of blocks. The results of analyses of the land use data surveyed in several local core cities of Japan suggest a simple stable principle in the mechanism of land use change.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2015 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (4 results)

All 2015 2013

All Journal Article (1 results) Presentation (3 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results)

  • [Journal Article] 空き家バンクの運営実績向上施策に関するシミュレーション分析2013

    • Author(s)
      木村 駿介、新井 健、森本 英嗣
    • Journal Title

      公益社団法人日本都市計画学会都市計画報告集

      Volume: 12 Pages: 48-53

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Relationship between the Frequency of a Cell's Land Use Transitions and Its Neighborhood-Cases in Local Major Cities in Japan2015

    • Author(s)
      Takeshi Arai and Taisuke Suzuki
    • Organizer
      2015 KAGIS Fall Conference & International Symposium on GIS
    • Place of Presentation
      Pusan, Republic of Korea
    • Year and Date
      2015-11-05
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Analysis of the long-term effects of lot size regulations on the age composition in urban residential area2015

    • Author(s)
      Takeshi Arai and Hidetsugu Morimoto
    • Organizer
      CUPUM 2015
    • Place of Presentation
      MIT, Boston, USA
    • Year and Date
      2015-07-07 – 2015-07-10
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] A Simple Relationship between Neighborhood and Land Use Change: An Empirical Study in Japan2013

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Muranaka and Takeshi Arai
    • Organizer
      The 13th International Conference on Computers in Urban Planning and Urban Management
    • Place of Presentation
      Utrecht 大学、オランダ
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report

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Published: 2014-07-25   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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