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Modeling traffic flow as exchange interactions in an "atmosphere" field shared with drivers

Research Project

Project/Area Number 25820247
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Civil engineering project/Traffic engineering
Research InstitutionTokyo University of Science

Principal Investigator

KASAI Makoto  東京理科大学, 理工学部, 助教 (20579792)

Project Period (FY) 2013-04-01 – 2015-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2014)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,290,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥990,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥2,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥600,000)
Keywords交通流 / 交通容量 / 容量上の隘路現象 / 交換相互作用 / ドライビングシミュレータ / 追従積重ね試験 / 階層ベイズ / 単路部ボトルネック / 臨界現象
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This study discusses an effect of "atmosphere" shared with neighboring drivers in traffic flow to model and mitigate bottleneck phenomena in access-controlled section. First, traffic flow is modeled as exchange interaction in time headway instead of modeling car-following behavior based on homogenous traffic flow data collected by a driving simulator. Second, Hierarchical Bayesian Estimation is applied to estimation of robustness of exchange interaction in time headway. Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods and Type-II maximum likelihood estimation method are implemented for the estimation. As a result, the interaction in time headways in chronological order dominates in other interactions such as those of successive cars. Finally, a measure for improvement of discharge flow rate is tested. In the experiment, an effect of acceleration of neighboring cars is measured by a driving simulator. Some drivers steadily follow the leader in case of high acceleration rate of neighboring cars.

Report

(3 results)
  • 2014 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (3 results)

All 2014 2013

All Journal Article (1 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 1 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 1 results) Presentation (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] Extracting Characteristics of Traffic Flow in Bottlenecks with Exchange Interactions in Time Headway2014

    • Author(s)
      Makoto KASAI, Shun SHIBAGAKI and Shintaro TERABE
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the 17th International IEEE Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems

      Volume: 17 Pages: 3144-3150

    • DOI

      10.1109/itsc.2014.6958196

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Presentation] 単路部交通流の特性を抽出するための車頭時間ダイナミックスモデル2014

    • Author(s)
      葛西誠, 大月崇照, 寺部慎太郎
    • Organizer
      土木計画学研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      鳥取大学
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-01 – 2014-11-03
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] ドライビングシミュレータを用いた追従積重ね試験データから交通流の特徴を抽出する手法2013

    • Author(s)
      柴垣俊,葛西誠,伏屋和晃,寺部慎太郎
    • Organizer
      第48回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪市立大学(大阪府)
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report

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Published: 2014-07-25   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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