| Budget Amount *help |
¥7,020,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,620,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥3,510,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥810,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥2,730,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥630,000)
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| Outline of Final Research Achievements |
Mathematical modeling of infectious diseases often rests on bottom-up approach to capturing the transmission dynamics and natural history. However, the infection event is not directly observable, and thus, the infection process has to be statistically inferred using the readily observable information. The present study expanded the scientific opportunities of inference, collecting the illness onset data and utilizing such models to evaluate infectious disease interventions. Multitudes of publications including those applied to MERS (Middle East respiratory syndrome) and Zika fever have resulted from this project.
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