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1992 Fiscal Year Final Research Report Summary

Rural Depopulation Analyses Using A Dynamic Out/In-Migration Model

Research Project

Project/Area Number 02805063
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for General Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Research Field 交通工学・国土計画
Research InstitutionGunma University

Principal Investigator

AOSHIMA Naojiro  Gunma Univ., Dept. of Civil Engrg., Professor Only Head Investigator, 工学部, 教授 (40108246)

Project Period (FY) 1990 – 1992
Keywordsrural depopulation problems / out / in-migration / life cycle stage / decision making process / dynamic model / disaggregate model
Research Abstract

Rural (agricultural and mountainous) depopulation problems in Japan are caused by the over-outmigration into urban areas. The primal factors of the outmigration are not only the rural socioeconomic conditions such as labor and dwelling environments but also the commuting accessibility to urban areas. The over-outmigration does not occur when the commuting accessibility is high, even if the rural socioeconomic conditions are inferior, since they can enjoy the good socioeconomic conditions in urban areas easily. On the other hand, the urban inhabitants who had inmigrated from rural areas will return to their native rural areas, if the rural socioeconomic conditions or the commuting accessibility are improved.
The out/in-migration of a person from a rural area is baesd on the evaluation of such his/her life environments. Its process is dynamic and different from each other according to his/her life cycle stage and individual attributes. The effects of countermeasures for rural depopulation problems should be estimated by amount of out/in-migration through such decision making process. Standing on these viewpoints, we have developed a Dynamic Out/ In-Migration Model by using Dimension-Nested and Time-Nested Logit Model.

  • Research Products

    (12 results)

All Other

All Publications (12 results)

  • [Publications] 片田 敏孝,広畠 康裕,青島 縮次郎: "農山村過疎地域における転出・帰還行動のモデル化に関する基礎的研究" 土木学会論文集. 419/IV-13. 105-114 (1990)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] 青島 縮次郎,磯部 反彦,相川 勝浩: "山間過疎地域における自動車の相乗りおよび送迎に関する調査分析" 交通工学研究発表会論文集. 11. 53-56 (1991)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] 青島 縮次郎,磯部 反彦,宮崎 正樹: "世帯における自動車保有履歴から見た自動車複数保有化の構造分析" 土木計画学研究・論文集. 9. 45-52 (1991)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] N.AOSHIMA,T.ISOBE,and K.AIKAWA: "Mobility of the Elderly in Japan Depopulated Areas" the wheel extended. 79. 27-32 (1992)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] 青島 縮次郎,磯部 反彦,宮崎 正樹,安村 宏: "世帯における自動車複数保有化要因分析" 土木計画学研究・講演集. 15(1). 755-760 (1992)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] 青島 縮次郎,磯部 反彦,高橋 慶子: "世帯のライフサイクルステージから見た自動車免許保有者と非保有者の交通行動分析" 地域学研究. 22-1. 151-165 (1992)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] T.Katada, Y.Hirobata, and N.Aoshima: "A Dynamic Out/In- Migration Model for Rural Depopulation Problems(in Japanese)" Proceedings of Japan Society of Civil Engineers. No.419/IV-13. 105-114 (1990)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Publications] N.Aoshima, T.Isobe, and K.Aikawa: "On Car-Ride-Together of "Shared Ride" and "Serve Passenger(s)" in Rural Depopulated Areas (in Japanese)" Proceedings of Japan Society of Traffic Engineers. No.11. 53-56 (1991)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Publications] N.Aoshima, T.Isobe, and M.Miyazaki: "A Structural Analysis on Multi-Car Ownership of Household Based on Longitudinal Car Ownership Survey(in Japanese)" Infrastructure Planning Review. No.9. 45-52 (1991)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Publications] N.Aoshima, T.Isobe, and K.Aikawa: "Mobility of the Elderly in Japan's Depopulated Areas" the wheel extended. No.79. 27-32 (1992)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Publications] N.Aoshima, T.Isobe, M.Miyazaki, and H.Yasumura: "A Factor Analysis on Multi-Car Ownership of Household (in Japanese)" Proceedings of Infrastructure Planning. No.15(1)-2. 755-760 (1992)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Publications] N.Aoshima, T.Isobe, and K.Takahashi: "Travel Behavior Analysis of the Licensed and the Unlicensed by Life Cycle Stages in Households (in Japanese)" Studies in Regional Science. Vol.22,No.1. 151-165 (1992)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より

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Published: 1994-03-24  

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