2017 Fiscal Year Final Research Report
Building population estimation systems for a period of population decline
Project/Area Number |
15K16883
|
Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)
|
Allocation Type | Multi-year Fund |
Research Field |
Human geography
|
Research Institution | Ritsumeikan University (2016-2017) Tohoku University (2015) |
Principal Investigator |
|
Project Period (FY) |
2015-04-01 – 2018-03-31
|
Keywords | 人口減少 / マイクロデータ / 小地域 / 地理情報システム / 統計分析 / 公的調査 / ビッグデータ |
Outline of Final Research Achievements |
The purpose of this research project is to build a population estimation system in the population decline period by using a spatial microsimulation method. The method was applied to construct a large scale synthetic population microdata and simulate population dynamics. The major findings can be summarized as follows: (1) synthetic population microdata at the small-area level covering the whole Japan were constructed from anonymized non-geographic census microdata, and (2) logit analyses were applied to model effects of various factors in demographic changes. We further incorporated the results to construct a prototype model for areal population estimation. Our results and applications were presented in several academic journals in the field of geography and demography.
|
Free Research Field |
地理情報科学
|