2017 Fiscal Year Final Research Report
Building population estimation systems for a period of population decline
| Project/Area Number |
15K16883
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| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)
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| Allocation Type | Multi-year Fund |
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| Research Field |
Human geography
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| Research Institution | Ritsumeikan University (2016-2017)
Tohoku University (2015) |
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Principal Investigator |
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| Project Period (FY) |
2015-04-01 – 2018-03-31
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| Keywords | 人口減少 / マイクロデータ / 小地域 / 地理情報システム / 統計分析 / 公的調査 / ビッグデータ |
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| Outline of Final Research Achievements |
The purpose of this research project is to build a population estimation system in the population decline period by using a spatial microsimulation method. The method was applied to construct a large scale synthetic population microdata and simulate population dynamics. The major findings can be summarized as follows: (1) synthetic population microdata at the small-area level covering the whole Japan were constructed from anonymized non-geographic census microdata, and (2) logit analyses were applied to model effects of various factors in demographic changes. We further incorporated the results to construct a prototype model for areal population estimation. Our results and applications were presented in several academic journals in the field of geography and demography.
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| Free Research Field |
地理情報科学
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