Evaluation model development and application to futuristic aerospace projects

2017 Fiscal Year Final Research Report

• Project/Area Number: 15K17124
• Research Category: Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)
• Allocation Type: Multi-year Fund
• Research Field: Management
• Research Institution: Ritsumeikan University
• Principal Investigator: MINATO NOBUAKI 立命館大学, テクノロジー・マネジメント研究科, 教授 (30567756)
• Research Collaborator: Morimoto Risako University of London, SOAS, Lecturer ; Hacklin Fredrik ETH Zurich, D-MTEC, Associate Professor
• Project Period (FY): 2015-04-01 – 2018-03-31
• Keywords: システムダイナミクス / プロジェクト評価 / エコシステム / 航空宇宙 / ヘルスケア / 技術経営

Outline of Final Research Achievements

I proposed an integrated evaluation model that reproduces the ecosystem of a large-scale and long-term aerospace project. System dynamics is used to model the interdependency among project stakeholders such as governments, R&D institutions, suppliers, manufacturers, service providers, workers and consumers. The model made it possible to quantitatively evaluate project values in chronological order using multiple indicators such as sales, net present values, employments and tax revenues. It enabled to estimate employment generation and tax revenue effects based on cash flow and to forecast the timing of employment adjustment and industrial shift. It contributes to strategic management of advanced R&D projects.

Free Research Field

技術経営学