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2010 Fiscal Year Final Research Report

Understanding Inflation Dynamics of the Japanese Economy : An Approach Integrating Microeconomics Behaviors and Aggregate Fluctuations

Research Project

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Project/Area Number 18GS0101
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Creative Scientific Research

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Research InstitutionHitotsubashi University

Principal Investigator

WATANABE Tsutomu  一橋大学, 経済研究所, 教授 (90313444)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) UEDA Kazuo  東京大学, 大学院・経済学研究科, 教授 (90151787)
ARIGA Kenn  京都大学, 経済研究所, 教授 (60159506)
ICHIMURA Hidehiko  東京大学, 大学院・経済学研究科, 教授 (50401196)
ABE Naohito  一橋大学, 経済研究所, 教授 (30323893)
NAKAJIMA Tomoyuki  京都大学, 経済研究所, 准教授 (50362405)
SHIOJI Etsuro  一橋大学, 大学院・経済学研究科, 教授 (50301180)
IWAISAKO Tokuo  一橋大学, 経済研究所, 非常勤研究員 (90292523)
HONDA Toshiki  一橋大学, 大学院・国際企業戦略研究科, 准教授 (70303063)
KAMBAYASHI Ryo  一橋大学, 経済研究所, 准教授 (40326004)
OHASHI Hiroshi  東京大学, 大学院・経済学研究科, 准教授 (00361577)
FUKUDA Shinichi  東京大学, 大学院・経済学研究科, 教授 (00221531)
Project Period (FY) 2006 – 2010
Keywords経済理論 / 経済政策 / 経済統計学 / 金融論
Research Abstract

Low inflation has been a fact of economic life in many countries over the last two decades. This tendency is particularly clear for the Japanese economy : the inflation rate has been staying below zero since the latter half of the 1990s. The purpose of this project is to study the causes and implications of such a change in the inflation process. The key idea is that a decline in the inflation rate at the macro level should be closely related to changes in firms' microeconomics behaviors. Our main finding is that Japanese firms change their prices more frequently than U. S. and European firms, and that the frequency of price adjustments tends to increase over the last ten years. This finding indicates that, in Japan, prices are less sticky at the micro level, contradicting the high price stickiness at the macro level that has been found by previous studies regarding the slope of the Phillips curve in Japan. We have provided empirical evidence suggesting that the inconsistency between micro and macro price stickiness stems from strategic complementarities in price setting of Japanese firms.

  • Research Products

    (45 results)

All 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 Other

All Journal Article (27 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 22 results) Presentation (8 results) Book (2 results) Remarks (8 results)

  • [Journal Article] Random Walk or A Run : Market Microstructure Analysis of the Foreign Exchange Rate Movements based on Conditional Probability2012

    • Author(s)
      Y. Hashimoto, T. Ito, T. Ohnishi, M. Takayasu, H. Takayasu, and T. Watanabe
    • Journal Title

      Quantitative Finance

      Volume: Vol.12, No.6 Pages: 893-905

    • DOI

      DOI:10.1080/14697681003792237

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] On the Nonstationarity of the Exchange Rate Process2011

    • Author(s)
      T. Ohnishi, H. Takayasu, T. Ito, Y. Hashimoto, M. Takayasu, T. Watanabe
    • Journal Title

      International Review of Financial Analysis, forthcoming

    • URL

      http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Fiscal Policy Switching in Japan, the U. S., and the U. K2011

    • Author(s)
      A. Ito, T. Watanabe, T. Yabu
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japanese and International Economies

      Pages: 380-413

    • DOI

      DOI:10.1016/j.jjie.2011.09.001

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] ゼロ金利と緩やかな物価下落2011

    • Author(s)
      渡辺努, 藤田昌久
    • Journal Title

      日本評論社

      Pages: 147-184

  • [Journal Article] ネットオークション価格はアンフェアか?2011

    • Author(s)
      渡辺努, 水野貴之
    • Journal Title

      フィナンシャル・レビュー

      Volume: 106 Pages: 21-36

    • URL

      http://www.mof.go.jp/pri/publication/financial_review/fr_list6/r106/r106_03.pdf

  • [Journal Article] Optimal monetary policy with imperfect unemployment insurance2011

    • Author(s)
      T. Nakajima
    • Journal Title

      Optimal monetary policy with imperfect unemployment insurance

      Volume: No.34 Pages: 365-387

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Closely Competing Firms and Price Adjustment : Some Findings from an Online Marketplace2010

    • Author(s)
      T. Mizuno, M. Nirei, T. Watanabe
    • Journal Title

      Scandinavian Journal of Economics

      Volume: Volume 112 Pages: 673-696

    • DOI

      DOI:10.1111/j.1467-9442.2010.01626.x

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Housing Prices in Tokyo : A Comparison of Hedonic and Repeat-Sales Measures2010

    • Author(s)
      C. Shimizu, K. G. Nishimura, T. Watanabe
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Economics and Statistics

      Pages: 792-813

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A Statistical Analysis of Product Prices in Online Markets2010

    • Author(s)
      T. Mizuno, T. Watanabe
    • Journal Title

      European Physical Journal B

      Volume: Vol.76, No.4 Pages: 501-506

    • URL

      http://dx.doi.org/10.1140/epjb/e2009-00439-1

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The Firm as a Bundle of Barcodes2010

    • Author(s)
      K. Sakai, T. Watanabe
    • Journal Title

      European Physical Journal B

      Volume: Vol.76, No.4 Pages: 507-512

    • URL

      http://dx.doi.org/10.1140/epjb/e2010-00069-6

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Residential Rents and Price Rigidity : Micro Structure and Macro Consequences2010

    • Author(s)
      C. Shimizu and K. G. Nishimura, T. Watanabe
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japanese and International Economies

      Volume: Volume 24 Pages: 282-299

    • URL

      http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jjie.2009.12.006

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Employment and Wage Adjustments at Firms under Distress in Japan : An Analysis Based upon a Survey2010

    • Author(s)
      K. Ariga, R. Kambayashi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of The Japanese and International Economies

      Volume: 24 Pages: 213-235

    • URL

      http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jjie.2009.12.005

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Micro and Macro Price Dynamics in Daily Data2010

    • Author(s)
      N. Abe, A.
    • Journal Title

      Tonogi, Journal of Monetary Economics

      Volume: Vol.57-6 Pages: 716-728

    • URL

      http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2010.05.016

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Incumbent's Price Response to New Entry : The Case of Japanese Supermarkets2010

    • Author(s)
      N. Abe, D.
    • Journal Title

      Kawaguchi, Journal of the Japanese and International Economies

      Volume: 24 Pages: 196-212

    • URL

      http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jjie.2009.12.003

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Impaired Bank Health and Default Risk2009

    • Author(s)
      S. Fukuda, M. Kasuya, and K. Akashi
    • Journal Title

      Pacific-Basin Finance Journal

      Volume: No.17 Pages: 145-162

    • URL

      http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2008.06.002

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 四半世紀の物価変動2009

    • Author(s)
      渡辺努
    • Journal Title

      デフレ経済と金融政策

      Pages: 277-294

  • [Journal Article] 日本の株式市場・債権市場における金融政策の影響2009

    • Author(s)
      青野幸平
    • Journal Title

      Research Center for Price Dynamics Working Paper Series Working Paper Series

      Volume: No.35 Pages: 1-28

    • URL

      http://www.ier.hit-u.ac.jp/~ifd/doc/IFD_WP35.pdf

  • [Journal Article] オンライン市場における価格変動の統計的分析2008

    • Author(s)
      水野貴之, 渡辺努
    • Journal Title

      経済研究

      Volume: 第59巻第4号 Pages: 317-329

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] オンライン市場における価格変動の統計的分析2008

    • Author(s)
      阿部修人, 外木暁幸, 渡辺努
    • Journal Title

      経済研究

      Volume: 第59巻第4号 Pages: 305-316

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Post-crisis Exchange Rate Regimes in ASEAN : A New Empirical Test Based on Intra-daily Data2008

    • Author(s)
      S. Fukuda and S. Ohno
    • Journal Title

      Singapore Economic Review

      Volume: Volume 53 Pages: 191-213

    • DOI

      DOI:10.1142/S0217590808002902

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Liquidity Trap and Optimal Monetary Policy in Open Economies2008

    • Author(s)
      T. Nakajima
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japanese and International Economies

      Pages: 1-33p

    • URL

      http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jjie.2007.06.002

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 賃金・雇用調整と価格決定方法2008

    • Author(s)
      有賀健, 神林龍
    • Journal Title

      経済研究

      Volume: 第59巻4号 Pages: 289-304

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Menu Costs and Price Change Distributions : Evidence from Japanese Scanner Data2007

    • Author(s)
      Y. Saito and T. Watanabe
    • Journal Title

      Research Center for Price Dynamics Working Paper Series

      Volume: No.17 Pages: 1-42

    • URL

      http://www.ier.hit-u.ac.jp/~ifd/doc/IFD_WP17.pdf

  • [Journal Article] Trying to Make Sense of the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy since the Exit form Quantitative Easing2007

    • Author(s)
      K. Ueda
    • Journal Title

      International Finance

      Volume: Vol.10 No.3 Pages: 301-316

    • DOI

      DOI:10.1111/j.1468-2362.2007.00208.x

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The Effects of the BOJ's Zero Interest Rate Commitment and Quantitative Monetary Easing on the Yield Curve : A Macro-Finance Approach2007

    • Author(s)
      K. Ueda and N. Oda
    • Journal Title

      Japanese Economic Review

      Volume: Vol.58 Pages: 303-328

    • DOI

      DOI:10.1111/j.1468-5876.2007.00422.

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The Great Intervention and Massive Money Injection : The Japanese Experience 2003-2004

    • Author(s)
      T. Watanabe, T. Yabu
    • Journal Title

      Journal of International Money and Finance, forthcoming

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A New Method for Identifying the Effects of Central Bank Interventions

    • Author(s)
      C. Chen, T. Watanabe, T. Yabu
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, forthcoming

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Panel discussion at Symposium on Information2011

    • Author(s)
      渡辺努
    • Organizer
      Panel discussion at Symposium on Information, Institution and Governance in Real Estate Markets Organized by Institute of Real Estate Studies
    • Place of Presentation
      National University of Singapore
    • Year and Date
      2011-05-20
  • [Presentation] House Prices at Different Stages of the Buying/Selling Process2011

    • Author(s)
      渡辺努
    • Organizer
      Presentation at the 12th Ottawa Group Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      Wellington
    • Year and Date
      2011-05-05
  • [Presentation] Closely Competing Firms and Price Adjustment : Some Findings from an Online Marketplace2011

    • Author(s)
      渡辺努
    • Organizer
      コロンビア大学ビジネススクール
    • Year and Date
      2011-03-03
  • [Presentation] Deflation and Monetary Policy2010

    • Author(s)
      渡辺努
    • Organizer
      Presentation at EIJS(European Institute of Japanese Studies) seminar
    • Place of Presentation
      Embassy of Sweden.(東京)
    • Year and Date
      2010-12-21
  • [Presentation] Fiscal Policy Switching in Japan, the U. S. and the U. K.2010

    • Author(s)
      渡辺努
    • Organizer
      NBER-CEPR-TCER主催会議(Fiscal Policy and Crisis)
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学
    • Year and Date
      2010-12-06
  • [Presentation] On the Evolution of the House Price Distribution2010

    • Author(s)
      渡辺努
    • Organizer
      Presentation at "International real estate economics and finance research seminar," organized by the Universities of Aberdeen, Cambridge
    • Place of Presentation
      Reading and Ulster
    • Year and Date
      2010-08-30
  • [Presentation] Real Rigidities : Evidence from an Online Marketplace2010

    • Author(s)
      渡辺努
    • Organizer
      NBER Japan Project Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      アジア開発銀行研究所
    • Year and Date
      2010-06-26
  • [Presentation] On the Evolution of the House Price Distribution2010

    • Author(s)
      渡辺努
    • Organizer
      UN及びILO主催の会議(Meeting of Groups of Experts on Consumer Price Indices)
    • Place of Presentation
      United Nations(スイス)
    • Year and Date
      2010-05-11
  • [Book] New Approaches to the Analysis of Business and Economic Data, co-edited by Misako Takayasu2010

    • Author(s)
      Tsutomu Watanabe
    • Total Pages
      315
    • Publisher
      Hideki Takayasu, Springer
  • [Book] 検証中小企業金融2008

    • Author(s)
      渡辺努・植杉威一郎
    • Total Pages
      236
    • Publisher
      日本経済新聞社
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://www.ier.hit-u.ac.jp/-ifd/

  • [Remarks] 2006年12月~2011年3月全12号ニュースレター

    • URL

      http://www.ier.hit-u.ac.jp/~ifd/news2.html

  • [Remarks] 一橋大学主催公開講座『日本のカカク』全5回(2009年5月16日渡辺努「日本の物価ダイナミクス」, 5月23日阿部修人「スーパーマーケットの価格づけ」, 5月30日神林龍「価格調整と賃金・雇用調整」, 6月6日水野貴之「ネット市場での家電品の値動き」, 6月13日清水千弘「日本の不動産価格の決定メカニズム」)行事・講演を通じた発信

  • [Remarks] 経済産業研究所主催シンポジウム『大規模業務データから何を学ぶか』の企画・講演, 2009年3月5日,渡辺努行事・講演を通じた発信

  • [Remarks] 「為替介入資金を市場に放置デフレ是正へ新たな手段」日本経済新聞『経済教室』2010年9月27日,渡辺努新聞等を通じた発信

  • [Remarks] 「日本のデフレは緩やかだがしぶとい日銀は物価予想への働きかけを」『エコノミスト』2010年2月2日号,渡辺努新聞等を通じた発信

  • [Remarks] 「物価の反応の鈍さ注視を」日本経済新聞『経済教室』2009年12月9日,渡辺努新聞等を通じた発信

  • [Remarks] 「金融危機とゼロ金利の壁」『金融財政』2009年3月2日号,渡辺努「金融危機とゼロ金利の壁」『金融財政』2009年3月2日号,渡辺努新聞等を通じた発

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Published: 2013-07-31  

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