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2010 Fiscal Year Final Research Report

Wild・Forest Fires Occurrence and Extension Prediction due to Global Climate Change

Research Project

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Project/Area Number 20241042
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Natural disaster science
Research InstitutionHokkaido University

Principal Investigator

HONMA Toshihisa  Hokkaido University, 大学院・情報科学研究科, 教授 (00091497)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) KIMURA Keiji  北海道大学, 情報科学研究科, 准教授 (30294276)
KUSHIDA Keiji  富山大学, 極東地域研究センター, 准教授 (90291236)
ENDO Satoshi  琉球大学, 工学部, 教授 (00223686)
AKAMINE Yuhei  琉球大学, 工学部, 助教 (00433095)
Project Period (FY) 2008 – 2010
Keywords森林火災 / 気候変動 / 延焼予測 / リモートセンシング / シミュレーション / プロジェクトマネジメント / 階層化意思決定 / ニューラルネットワーク
Research Abstract

In this research, we developed the wild/forest fire detection softwear with high accuracy to detect hotspots of boreal forest fires in Alaska/Siberia and wildfires in Indonesia by using imagery data of satellites, in which we carried out ground truth and observed the fire spots with UAV in order to check the detection accuracy by the softwear. We also developed the simulation code to predict the fire expansion and verified the usefulness of the code. In addition, we proposed the quantitative method of decision for importance of project to mitigate the forest/wild fires and performance evaluation of the project.

  • Research Products

    (28 results)

All 2011 2010 2009 2008

All Journal Article (7 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 7 results) Presentation (20 results) Book (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Forcasting Project Performance Using a Neural Prediction Model2011

    • Author(s)
      A Nguvulu, S.Yamato, T.Honma
    • Journal Title

      Inst.Electrical Engineering of JAPAN 131

      Pages: 900-905

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] プロジェクトの定量的評価モデルの提案と適用事例2010

    • Author(s)
      山戸昭三、中村仁之輔、本間利久
    • Journal Title

      プロジェクトマネジメント学会誌 12

      Pages: 19-26

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Sentinel Asia-the Overview and Prospect2010

    • Author(s)
      K.Kaku, K.Fukami, T.Honma, M.Fukuda
    • Journal Title

      Asian Journal of GEOINFORMATICS 10

      Pages: 35-41

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] An Evaluation Method for Hotspot Detection Algorithms Using Web-GIS2009

    • Author(s)
      K.Kaku, K.Kushida, T.Honma, M.Fukuda
    • Journal Title

      Asian Journal of GEOINFORMATICS 9

      Pages: 19-27

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A Stoc hastic Fire Detection Model in 4μm Constru cted by Using ASTER and MODIS2008

    • Author(s)
      K.Kushida, S.Chin Liew, O.Msihigdorj, K.Kaku, M.Fukuda, T.Honma
    • Journal Title

      Asian J ournal of GEOINFORMATICS 8

      Pages: 19-27

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A Study of an Algorism to Detect Wildfire with Edges of Smoke Plumes2008

    • Author(s)
      Y.Kagiya, K.Kimura, T.Honma, K.Nakau
    • Journal Title

      Asian Journal of GEOINFORMATICS 8

      Pages: 35-40

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Wildfire Detection Method in Alaska by Three-dimensional Histogram of MODIS2008

    • Author(s)
      K.Honda, K.Kimura, T.Honma, J.Kudoh
    • Journal Title

      Asian Journal of GEOINFORMATICS 8

      Pages: 29-33

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Project Evaluation Using Deep Machine Learning2011

    • Author(s)
      A.Nguvulu, S.Yamato, T.Honma
    • Organizer
      Soc.of Project Management of Japan
    • Place of Presentation
      Tokyo, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2011-03-10
  • [Presentation] Land Cover Classification in Central Kalimantang, Indonesia Using ALOS-AVNIR and PALSAR2010

    • Author(s)
      T.Honma, K.Kimura, Y.Baba
    • Organizer
      The 4^<th> Joint PI Symposium of ALOS Data Nodes for ALOS Science Program 2010
    • Place of Presentation
      Tokyo, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2010-11-17
  • [Presentation] Wildfire Monitoring Using Wireless Sensor Networks2010

    • Author(s)
      I.Yoon, D.Lee, T.Honma, H.Shin
    • Organizer
      The 3^<rd> Int.Sym.on Sentinel Earth-Advance in Satellite Imagery Data and GIS and Their Application
    • Place of Presentation
      Sapporo, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2010-11-04
  • [Presentation] Active Fire Detection Using a Peat Fire Radiance Model2010

    • Author(s)
      K.Kushida, T.Honma, K.Kaku, M.Fukuda
    • Organizer
      The 3^<rd> Int.Sym.on Sentinel Earth-Advance in Satellite Imagery Data and GIS and Their Application
    • Place of Presentation
      Sapporo, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2010-11-04
  • [Presentation] Forecasting Project Performance Using a Project Assessment Indicator Neural Network Scheme2010

    • Author(s)
      A.Nguvulu, S.Yamato, T.Honma
    • Organizer
      The 5^<th> Int.Conf.on Project Management (ProMAC 2010)
    • Place of Presentation
      Makuhari, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2010-10-12
  • [Presentation] The Comparison of PAI Model with AHP-PAI Model2010

    • Author(s)
      S.Yamato, J.Nakamura, T.Honma
    • Organizer
      The 5^<th> Int.Conf.on Project Management (ProMAC 2010)
    • Place of Presentation
      Makuhari, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2010-10-12
  • [Presentation] 土地被覆データを使用した森林火災延焼拡大モデルの検討2010

    • Author(s)
      上間弥、赤嶺有平、遠藤聡志、本間利久、木村圭司
    • Organizer
      第80回MPS情報処理学会「数理モデル化と問題解決研究会」
    • Place of Presentation
      札幌、日本
    • Year and Date
      2010-09-28
  • [Presentation] Forecasting Project Performance Using a Cross-Entropy Neural Network2010

    • Author(s)
      A.Nguvulu, S.Yamato, T.Honma
    • Organizer
      IEEJ National Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Tokyo, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2010-03-18
  • [Presentation] Land-cover Classification with PALSAR Polarimetric Data in Kalimantan, Indonesia2009

    • Author(s)
      T.Honma, K.Kimura, Y.Baba
    • Organizer
      The 3^<rd> ALOS Joint PI Symposium
    • Place of Presentation
      Hawaii, USA
    • Year and Date
      2009-11-13
  • [Presentation] Simulation for the Extension of the Wildfire with Numerical Weather Simulation MM52009

    • Author(s)
      K.Kimura, T.Ogawa, Y.Hatanaka, T.Honma
    • Organizer
      The 2^<nd> International Symposium on Sentinel Earth-Advanced Utilization Studies of Satellite Data and Imagery Data
    • Place of Presentation
      Sapporo, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2009-11-05
  • [Presentation] Development of a Simulation System for the Spread of Northern Hemisphere Forest Fires2009

    • Author(s)
      W.Uema, Y.Iha, S.Endo, Y.Akamine, K.Kimura, T.Honma
    • Organizer
      ICROS-SICE Int.Joint Conf.2009
    • Place of Presentation
      Fukuoka, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2009-08-20
  • [Presentation] Project Management Office Action Model Using AHP2009

    • Author(s)
      S.Yamato, J.Nakamura, T.Honma
    • Organizer
      The 10^<th> International Symposium on the Analytical Hierarchy Process
    • Place of Presentation
      Pittsburg, USA
    • Year and Date
      2009-07-31
  • [Presentation] An Application of AHP/ANP to a Wildfire Management Project to Help Mitigate Global Warming2009

    • Author(s)
      K.Kaku, T.Honma, M.Fukuda
    • Organizer
      The 10^<th> International Symposium on the Analytical Hierarchy Process
    • Place of Presentation
      Pittsburg, USA
    • Year and Date
      2009-07-31
  • [Presentation] Development of a Simulation System for the Spread of the Boreal Forest Fires2009

    • Author(s)
      W.Uema, Y.Iha, 遠藤聡志, 赤嶺有平, K.Kimura, T.Honma
    • Organizer
      8^<th> Int.Conf.Applications and Principles of Information Science
    • Place of Presentation
      Naha, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2009-01-11
  • [Presentation] A Study of Wildfire Detection in Alaska by Using MODIS Data2008

    • Author(s)
      K.Honda, K.Kimura, T.Honma
    • Organizer
      1^<st> Int.Sym.Arctic Research
    • Place of Presentation
      Tokyo, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2008-11-06
  • [Presentation] Building the Wildfire Expansion Simulation in Alaska2008

    • Author(s)
      木村圭司, 本間利久
    • Organizer
      1^<st> Int.Sym.Arctic Research
    • Place of Presentation
      Tokyo, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2008-11-06
  • [Presentation] Building Database as Background of Wild Fire with Spatio-Temporal GIS2008

    • Author(s)
      T.Honma, K.Kimura, Y.Sakagami
    • Organizer
      ALOS PI 2008 Symposium
    • Place of Presentation
      Kos, Greek
    • Year and Date
      2008-11-05
  • [Presentation] Local-Scale Weather Simulation Related to Large Wildfire in Alasaka2008

    • Author(s)
      K.Edagawa, K.Kimura, T.Honma
    • Organizer
      1^<st> Int.Sym.Arctic Research
    • Place of Presentation
      Tokyo, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2008-11-05
  • [Presentation] PMO Action Model Using AHP2008

    • Author(s)
      S.Yamato, J.Nakamura, T.Honma
    • Organizer
      4^<th> Int.Conf.Project Management
    • Place of Presentation
      Anchorage, USA
    • Year and Date
      2008-09-17
  • [Presentation] AHP and ANP Evaluation of Wildfire Project Management using Remote Sensing Technology2008

    • Author(s)
      K.Kaku, T.Honma, M.Fukuda
    • Organizer
      4^<th> Int.Conf.Project Management
    • Place of Presentation
      Anchorage, USA
    • Year and Date
      2008-09-16
  • [Book] プロジェクトマヌジメントハンドブック(本間利久(編))2009

    • Total Pages
      1-806
    • Publisher
      オーム社

URL: 

Published: 2012-01-26   Modified: 2014-04-08  

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