2022 Fiscal Year Research-status Report
Clarifying the social-ecological implications of the recent and the projected future global forest cover changes under the SSPs
| Project/Area Number |
22K01038
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| Research Institution | Forest Research and Management Organization |
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Principal Investigator |
ESTOQUE RONALDC 国立研究開発法人森林研究・整備機構, 森林総合研究所, 主任研究員 等 (60760139)
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| Project Period (FY) |
2022-04-01 – 2025-03-31
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| Keywords | forest cover change / climate change / biodiversity / disaster risk reduction / sensitive areas / sustainability |
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| Outline of Annual Research Achievements |
In the first year (FY 2022), a spatially explicit database of forest loss and relevant social-ecological variables was created, and a review of work in relation to forest cover change monitoring and social-ecological status indexes was performed. Three indexes were conceptualized and developed as proxy indicators for socially and ecologically sensitive areas, namely the climate change mitigation potential index, the biodiversity conservation potential index, and the disaster risk reduction potential index. An overall composite index, called the socially and ecologically sensitive areas index (SESAI), was also developed by combining all three indexes. Finally, a test analysis focusing on Southeast Asia was conducted.
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| Current Status of Research Progress |
Current Status of Research Progress
2: Research has progressed on the whole more than it was originally planned.
Reason
The research has progressed smoothly because no critical issues were encountered.
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| Strategy for Future Research Activity |
For the second year (FY 2023), the plan and targets are as follows: (i) to repeat the analysis for Southeast Asia using different forest loss datasets or similar datasets (e.g. tree canopy cover) and verify the consistency of the results; and (ii) based on the results of (i), to expand the analysis to include the entire tropical region, encompassing the rest of tropical Asia, Africa, and South America. Additionally, the initial results will be presented in academic and scientific conferences.
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| Causes of Carryover |
The miscellaneous expenses were slightly lower than expected. The remaining amount from the previous fiscal year will be utilized to attend academic and scientific conferences during the current fiscal year.
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