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2013 Fiscal Year Final Research Report

Statistical Inference of Stochastic Copulas and Their Application to Finance

Research Project

  • PDF
Project/Area Number 23530250
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Economic statistics
Research InstitutionHitotsubashi University

Principal Investigator

NOBUHIRO Nakamura  一橋大学, 大学院国際企業戦略研究科, 教授 (90323899)

Project Period (FY) 2011 – 2013
Keywords確率的裾依存性コピュラ / 確率的ヴァインコピュラ / 粒子フィルター法 / CVaR最小化 / レバレッジ付き確率ボラティリティ / テールリスク・パリティ / 動的条件付きコピュラ / ボラティリティ・パズル
Research Abstract

We find out that the particle filtering technique is an effective method for statistical inference of stochastic copulas with time-varying dependence structure. As financial applications we have developed copula-based stochastic volatility(SV) model, multi-variate SV model,stochastic vein copula model, and so on. Furthermore, we have proposed new types of portfolio optimization based on the tail-risk parity/budgeting approach.

  • Research Products

    (14 results)

All 2014 2013 2012 2011

All Journal Article (6 results) Presentation (8 results)

  • [Journal Article] Tail Risk Parity/Budgeting Investment : Copula Approach to Tail Dependence Structure2013

    • Author(s)
      Nobuhiro Nakamura
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the 40-th JAFEE meeting

      Volume: Winter Pages: 43-54

  • [Journal Article] Dynamic Conditional Copula with Marginal Volatility Dependence2013

    • Author(s)
      Nobuhiro Nakamura
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the 39-th JAFEE meeting

      Volume: Summer Pages: 41-52

  • [Journal Article] Stochastic Vine Copula -Particle Filtering Approach-2012

    • Author(s)
      Nobuhiro Nakamura
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the 38-th JAFEE meeting

      Volume: Winter Pages: 100-111

  • [Journal Article] Modeling and Estimation of Pairs Trading Dynamics using Stochastic Volatility Model and Bayesian Inference2012

    • Author(s)
      Nazir Napoleon and Nobuhiro Nakamura
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the 37-th JAFEE meeting

      Volume: Summer Pages: 194-205

  • [Journal Article] Dynamic Factor Stochastic Volatility Models with Idiosyncratic Stochastic Volatilities -Particle Filtering Approach-2011

    • Author(s)
      Nobuhiro Nakamura
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the 36-th JAFEE meeting

      Volume: Winter Pages: 59-70

  • [Journal Article] Copula-Based Asymmetric Leverage in Stochastic Volatility Models - Particle Filtering Approach -2011

    • Author(s)
      Nobuhiro Nakamura
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the 35-th JAFEE meeting

      Volume: Summer Pages: 241-252

  • [Presentation] Tail Risk Parity/Budgeting Investment : Copula Approach to Tail Dependence Structure2014

    • Author(s)
      中村信弘
    • Organizer
      日本金融・証券計量・工学学会
    • Place of Presentation
      慶応大学三田キャンパス(東京都)
    • Year and Date
      2014-01-10
  • [Presentation] Dynamic Conditional Copula with Marginal Volatility Dependence2013

    • Author(s)
      中村信弘
    • Organizer
      日本金融・証券計量・工学学会
    • Place of Presentation
      明治大学駿河台キャンパス(東京都)
    • Year and Date
      2013-08-04
  • [Presentation] Dynamic Factor Stochastic Volatility Models with Idiosyncratic Stochastic Volatilities -Particle Filtering Approach-2013

    • Author(s)
      中村信弘
    • Organizer
      日本ファイナンス学会
    • Place of Presentation
      武蔵大学江古田キャンパス(東京都)
    • Year and Date
      2013-06-02
  • [Presentation] Stochastic Vine Copula -Particle Filtering Approach-2013

    • Author(s)
      中村信弘
    • Organizer
      日本金融・証券計量・工学学会
    • Place of Presentation
      筑波大学東京キャンパス(東京都)
    • Year and Date
      2013-01-25
  • [Presentation] Modeling and Estimation of Pairs Trading Dynamics using Stochastic Volatility Model and Bayesian Inference2012

    • Author(s)
      Nazir Napoleon,中村信弘
    • Organizer
      日本金融・証券計量・工学学会
    • Place of Presentation
      成城大学(東京都)
    • Year and Date
      2012-08-04
  • [Presentation] Dynamic Factor Stochastic Volatility Models with Idiosyncratic Stochastic Volatilities -Particle Filtering Approach-2012

    • Author(s)
      中村信弘
    • Organizer
      日本金融・証券計量・工学学会
    • Place of Presentation
      筑波大学東京キャンパス(東京都)
    • Year and Date
      2012-03-12
  • [Presentation] Copula-Based Asymmetric Leverage in Stochastic Volatility Models Particle Filtering Approach -2011

    • Author(s)
      中村信弘
    • Organizer
      日本金融・証券計量・工学学会
    • Place of Presentation
      慶応大学三田キャンパス(東京都)
    • Year and Date
      2011-10-15
  • [Presentation] Interacting Copulas via Stochastic Tail Dependence Bayesian Inference Based on a Multi-Move Sampler-2011

    • Author(s)
      野澤勇樹,中村信弘
    • Organizer
      日本ファイナンス学会
    • Place of Presentation
      早稲田大学早稲田キャンパス(東京都)
    • Year and Date
      2011-05-14

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Published: 2015-07-16  

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