2015 Fiscal Year Final Research Report
An econometric analysis of the impacts of economic fluctuation to personal income distribution
| Project/Area Number |
24530230
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| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
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| Allocation Type | Multi-year Fund |
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| Section | 一般 |
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| Research Field |
Economic statistics
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| Research Institution | Kyushu University |
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Principal Investigator |
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| Research Collaborator |
FUKUI Shougo 鹿児島国際大学, 経済学部, 准教授 (80380690)
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| Project Period (FY) |
2012-04-01 – 2016-03-31
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| Keywords | 景気指標 / サ－ベイデ－タ / ロジスティックビジネスサ－ベイインデックス / 所得分布 / 一般化モ－メント法 / ジニ係数 / 可変パラメ－タモデル / 景気実感 |
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| Outline of Final Research Achievements |
In this research, we focused on how economic fluctuations since 1990 affect to the personal income distribution. We are interested in business survey data and we tried to develop a new index which is called logistic business survey index and also logistic consumer sentiment index. These indices are easy to calculate, flexible and well draw the business condition.
For the purpose of our analysis, we drive the concentration index like Gini coefficients and Theil measures after estimating Lorenz curves and statistical income distribution function. Changes over time of the concentration index show the upward trend after 2010. Actually the concentration index dropped under the period of economic expansion in 2003 to 2005. But the hypothesis economic expansion will cause the decrease of income inequality may not supported because of the movement after this period. For more detailed analysis, we should consider the impact of the rapid increase of the aged people in Japan
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| Free Research Field |
計量経済学、景気指標分析、個人間所得分布の分析、計量経済モデル分析
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