Development of an Alternative Route Estimation Model of International Container Transport after Large-scale Disasters

2015 Fiscal Year Final Research Report

• Project/Area Number: 25289165
• Research Category: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
• Allocation Type: Partial Multi-year Fund
• Section: 一般
• Research Field: Civil engineering project/Traffic engineering
• Research Institution: National Institute for Land and Infrastructure Management (2015); Kyoto University
• Principal Investigator: Akakura Yasuhiro 国土技術政策総合研究所, 港湾研究部, 部付 (70462629)
• Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha): ONO Kenji 京都大学, 防災研究所, 教授 (10641235) ; WATANABE Tomihiro 国土技術政策総合研究所, 港湾研究部, 室長 (10356040) ; ABE Motohisa 国土技術政策総合研究所, 港湾研究部, 室長 (30370795)
• Project Period (FY): 2013-04-01 – 2016-03-31
• Keywords: 巨大災害 / コンテナ貨物 / 代替港湾 / 時間価値 / BCP

Outline of Final Research Achievements

After large-scale disasters, the damaged ports, that are essential infrastructure for restoration of local and national economy, are expected to function to meet the cargo demand. From this viewpoint, the estimation of post-disaster cargo demand and alternative ports are needed in advance in port-BCP.
Against this background, the purpose of this study are (1) to quantify the demands for container transport after large-scale earthquakes and tsunamis, (2) to develop the port choice model used to identify alternative ports. The achievement of this study has been published by the papers of international and domestic societies and also by a book. In addition, the developed model was applied to the Tohoku regional port-BCP.

Free Research Field

国際物流、港湾BCP