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2016 Fiscal Year Final Research Report

Meta decision-making model for emergency management in disaster

Research Project

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Project/Area Number 26420512
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Civil engineering project/Traffic engineering
Research InstitutionKyoto University

Principal Investigator

KOBAYASHI KIYOSHI  京都大学, 経営管理大学院, 教授 (50115846)

Project Period (FY) 2014-04-01 – 2017-03-31
Keywords火山災害 / 危機管理 / 意思決定 / メタ原則 / 正統性 / 避難指示
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This research project has developed a normative framework for decision-makings in emergency management for natural disaster particularly under the context of volcanic disaster. A principle for meta level decision-making regarding the change of decision-making mode in emergency management was discussed. And a normative framework which is based on a system for discourse about emergency management to legitimate the change of decision-making mode has been proposed. In addition, conditions for normative rule for evacuation from volcanic disaster as an example case of a decision-making in emergency management. Furthermore, a methodology to identify eruption scenarios that optimal evacuation rule cannot cope with has been developed based on retrodiction.

Free Research Field

土木計画学

URL: 

Published: 2018-03-22  

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