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Study on the Model Development of Container Shipping Routes/Gateway Ports in East Asia considering the Cascading Effect induced by introducing of Mega Container Ships

Research Project

Project/Area Number 16K06549
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Civil engineering project/Traffic engineering
Research InstitutionKyoto University (2017-2018)
National Institute for Land and Infrastructure Management (2016)

Principal Investigator

Watanabe Tomihiro  京都大学, 経営管理研究部, 特定教授 (10356040)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 佐々木 友子  国土技術政策総合研究所, 港湾研究部, 主任研究官 (20642010)
赤倉 康寛  国土技術政策総合研究所, 港湾研究部, 室長 (70462629)
Project Period (FY) 2016-10-21 – 2019-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2018)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,550,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,050,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Keywords海上コンテナ / コンテナ航路 / 純流動OD / 貨物流動モデル / 交通計画 / ハブ港湾 / 港湾
Outline of Final Research Achievements

Recently, according to the increase of maritime container cargo, mega container ships have been introduced in the trunk routes between Asia and Europe/North America. And by the cascading effect of the mega container ship, container ship sizes of intra-Asia route have also enlarged.
Based on this background, we analyzed container routes and container ships in major route, and developed the method how to estimate the ship size and numbers not only in the trunk routes but also in the intra-Asian routes. In addition, we developed the model for estimating the net flow OD of worldwide maritime containers. Furthermore, we developed a route selection model of Japanese international maritime container cargo flow with Asian countries by using sacrifice model.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

アジアを中心とする国際海上コンテナ貨物量が増大し、超大型コンテナ船の投入やハブ港湾整備、新パナマ運河の供用などが進むなか、将来、我が国やアジア諸国へのコンテナ船の投入や寄港がどうなるかの評価ツール開発は、今後の港湾インフラの計画・整備の上で重要である。
本研究は、将来の純流動ベースのOD量をもとに、アジア地域を中心にどのようなコンテナ航路網が形成されるか、輸送経路・利用港湾はどうなるかについて定量的に評価するモデル構築などを、マクロなデータを活用して取り纏めたものである。将来の我が国やアジアの港湾インフラのあり方を考える上では、この分野での研究は少なく一定の学術的貢献があった。

Report

(4 results)
  • 2018 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (6 results)

All 2018 2017 Other

All Journal Article (3 results) (of which Open Access: 2 results,  Peer Reviewed: 2 results) Presentation (1 results) Remarks (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] 米トランプ政権の保護貿易政策による貿易対立が海運貨物量に与える影響試算2018

    • Author(s)
      赤倉康寛
    • Journal Title

      国土技術政策総合研究所資料

      Volume: No.1,053 Pages: 1-68

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] MEDIUM AND LONG TERM FUTURE ESTIMATION OF ORIGIN-DESTINATION VOLUME OF WORLD MARITIME CONTAINER FLOW2017

    • Author(s)
      赤倉康寛・荒木大志・玉井和久
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B3 (Ocean Engineering)

      Volume: 73 Issue: 2 Pages: I_989-I_994

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejoe.73.I_989

    • NAID

      130005995686

    • ISSN
      2185-4688
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 我が国の国際海上コンテナ貨物の経路選択モデル構築2017

    • Author(s)
      佐々木友子・赤倉康寛・渡部富博
    • Journal Title

      沿岸域学会誌

      Volume: 第30巻第3号 Pages: 79-90

    • NAID

      40021447738

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] 我が国の国際海上コンテナ貨物の経路選択モデル構築2017

    • Author(s)
      佐々木友子
    • Organizer
      日本沿岸域学会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 米トランプ政権の保護貿易政策による貿易対立が海運貨物量に与える影響の試算

    • URL

      http://www.nilim.go.jp/lab/bcg/siryou/tnn/tnn1053.htm

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 世界の国際海上コンテナ流動OD量の中長期見通しの試算

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2016-10-24   Modified: 2020-03-30  

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