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Establishment of a Short-Term Earthquake Prediction Method and Detection of Crustal Activity by Precise Observation of Electromagnetic Radio and Plasma Waves on Earth

Research Project

Project/Area Number 18K04129
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 21020:Communication and network engineering-related
Research InstitutionUniversity of Toyama

Principal Investigator

Fujii Masafumi  富山大学, 学術研究部工学系, 准教授 (60361945)

Project Period (FY) 2018-04-01 – 2023-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2022)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,290,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥990,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥390,000 (Direct Cost: ¥300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥90,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥390,000 (Direct Cost: ¥300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥90,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥3,510,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥810,000)
Keywords電磁波観測 / VHF / 地表面プラズマ波 / 応力誘起電荷 / 個体電気伝導 / 短期地震予測 / 地殻活動モニタリング / 電磁波解析 / 地表面プラズモン / 電磁波伝搬 / 地殻活動 / 地震活動 / 地震前兆現象 / 地球電磁気学 / 地震発生確率 / FDTD解析 / 深層学習 / 電磁気学 / 電磁相互作用 / フィルタ / 地殻変動 / 表面プラズマ波 / 電磁波
Outline of Final Research Achievements

In order to establish a short-term earthquake prediction method based on new principles of electromagnetics, electro-physics and electro-chemistry, we designed and fabricated a narrow-band filter to reduce very high frequency (VHF) band noise, and placed low-noise, high-sensitivity radio wave observation devices at several locations, and successfully detected anomalous radio propagation signals several hours before major earthquakes. We also succeeded in detecting anomalous radio propagation signals several hours before large earthquakes. Furthermore, we clarified the physical mechanism by which anomalous signals are generated in relation to earthquakes through large-scale numerical simulations, and showed that it is possible to monitor crustal activity over a range of several hundred kilometers and to predict earthquakes in the short term.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本研究では、地震の発生を数日から数時間前に察知し、その事態に備え、予期せぬ事態を最小化することを目標としている。これまでは地震が突然発生し、不意を突かれることによる不安と災害が極めて大きかったが、数時間前の予測が可能になれば心理的、社会的な安全や減災の効果は極めて大きい。学術的にもこれまで非常に困難とされていた地震の短期予測が可能であることおよびその物理機構を示した意義は小さくない。

Report

(6 results)
  • 2022 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (11 results)

All 2023 2022 2021 2020 2018

All Presentation (11 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results)

  • [Presentation] Numerical Analysis of Polarized Anomalous Electromagnetic Diffraction via the Ground Surface Plasma Wave Associated with Earthquakes2023

    • Author(s)
      Masafumi Fujii
    • Organizer
      URSI General Assembly and Scientific Symposium 2023
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Detection of Electromagnetic Precursors of Earthquakes Mediated by the Terrestrial Ground Surface Plasma Wave2023

    • Author(s)
      Masafumi Fujii
    • Organizer
      URSI General Assembly and Scientific Symposium 2023
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 電磁波異常現象の深層学習による中部・関東・東北地域における短期地震予測2023

    • Author(s)
      山田龍弥, 街道奎太, 高木周矢, 藤井雅文
    • Organizer
      電子情報通信学会総合大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 北アルプスにおける地震前兆山岳異常回折の電磁波解析2023

    • Author(s)
      中澤完介, 宮岸知喜, 藤沢友暉, 高田龍之介, 藤井雅文
    • Organizer
      電子情報通信学会総合大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 地震に伴う電磁波の山岳異常回折の電磁波解析による機構解明2023

    • Author(s)
      髙田龍之介, 宮岸知喜, 藤沢友暉, 中澤完介, 藤井雅文
    • Organizer
      電子情報通信学会総合大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 電波観測による電磁気的地震前兆の高感度検出2022

    • Author(s)
      藤井雅文
    • Organizer
      電子情報通信学会ソサイエティ大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 地震に伴う電磁波の山岳異常回折現象の3次元電磁界解析2022

    • Author(s)
      宮岸知喜, 藤沢友暉, 高田龍之介, 中澤完介, 藤井雅文
    • Organizer
      電子情報通信学会ソサイエティ大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 深層学習による地震前兆時の電磁波異常伝搬の自動検出2021

    • Author(s)
      小池広夢, 早木健人, 野口颯太, 帯刀遼平, 宮岸知喜, 藤井雅文
    • Organizer
      電子情報通信学会アンテナ・伝播研究会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 深層学習による地震前兆時の電磁波異常の自動検出2020

    • Author(s)
      小池広夢, 早木健人, 藤井雅文
    • Organizer
      電子情報通信学会ソサイエティ大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Observation and Analysis of Electromagnetic Precursors of Crustal Rupturing in Tonankai or East-South Sea Area of Japan2018

    • Author(s)
      Masafumi Fujii
    • Organizer
      Progress In Electromagnetics Research Symposium
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 北陸-中部-東南海における電磁波異常と地震活動の関連性2018

    • Author(s)
      牛木大志朗, 九澤遼太郎, 桃澤 健, 小池広夢, 藤井雅文
    • Organizer
      電子情報通信学会ソサエティ大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report

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Published: 2018-04-23   Modified: 2024-01-30  

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