Statistical interferences and models to partially observed point processes
| Project/Area Number |
20840043
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| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (Start-up)
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| Allocation Type | Single-year Grants |
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| Research Field |
General mathematics (including Probability theory/Statistical mathematics)
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| Research Institution | The Institute of Statistical Mathematics |
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Principal Investigator |
ZHUANG Jiancang The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, モデリング研究系, 助教 (70465920)
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| Project Period (FY) |
2008 – 2009
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| Project Status |
Completed (Fiscal Year 2009)
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| Budget Amount *help |
¥3,276,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,520,000、Indirect Cost: ¥756,000)
Fiscal Year 2009: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2008: ¥1,716,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,320,000、Indirect Cost: ¥396,000)
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| Keywords | 地震活動 / 点過程 / フィルタリング / Neyman-Scott過程 / ギャンブリング評価法 / 前震 / 余震 / Bath法則 / ETASモデル |
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| Research Abstract |
This research took the processes of earthquake occurrences as an example, developed statistical inferences to partially observed point processes, also revealed some physical properties related to earthquakes, including : 1) discovery of foreshock phenomena as a results of generic earthquake clustering ; 2) explanation the Bath law through clustering model ; 3) estimation of cluster-center process of Neyman-Scott processes, and 4) proposing of the gambling scoring method for testing performance of black-box type prediction algorithms.
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Report
(3 results)
Research Products
(37 results)
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[Presentation] Simulation studies on the differences between spontaneous and triggered seismicity and on foreshock probabilities2008
Author(s)
Zhuang, J., Vere-Jones, D., Ogata, Y., Christophersen, A., Savage, M.K., Jackson, D.D.
Organizer
2008 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Place of Presentation
サンフランシスコ, アメリカ合衆国
Year and Date
2008-12-17
Related Report
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[Presentation] Simulation studies on the differences between spontaneous and triggered seismicity and on foreshock probabilities.2008
Author(s)
Zhuang, J., Vere-Jones, D., Ogata, Y., Christophersen, A., Savage, M. K., Jackson, D. D.
Organizer
2008 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Place of Presentation
サンフランシスコ, アメリカ合衆国
Year and Date
2008-12-17
Related Report
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[Presentation] Model dependent differences between background and triggered earthquakes and their influences on foreshock probabilities2008
Author(s)
Zhuang, J., Christophersen, A., Savage, M.K., Vere-Jones, D., Ogata, Y., Jackson, D.D.
Organizer
第7回アジア国際地震学連合(ASC)総会・2008年日本地震学会(SSJ)秋季大会合同大会
Place of Presentation
つくば市
Year and Date
2008-11-27
Related Report
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