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Development of algebraic calculation indices that can be used for team/player evaluation in sports competitions

Research Project

Project/Area Number 26350434
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Social systems engineering/Safety system
Research InstitutionJuntendo University

Principal Investigator

Hirotsu Nobuyoshi  順天堂大学, スポーツ健康科学部, 教授 (90360726)

Project Period (FY) 2014-04-01 – 2020-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2019)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,770,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥870,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Keywordsスポーツ / 競技 / チーム / 選手 / 評価 / 計算指標
Outline of Final Research Achievements

In this research, we developed indices that can be easily calculated by an instructor in the sports field through algebraic calculation such as four arithmetic operations based on the analysis of team/player evaluation using the method of operations research (OR). The research was advanced for the Olympic Games. In soccer, we proposed calculation indices that evaluate players by type based on the frequencies of their plays. In rugby, we proposed such indices that represent players' involvement in the ball. We also proposed indices for long-distance running, indices for race speed in swimming, and an index for performance points in vault of gymnastics.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

「スポーツのOR」といわれる確率・統計やOR手法をスポーツへ応用する研究分野において、指導者との対話を通して、米大リーグにて活用されているセイバーメトリクスのような計算指標を、五輪種目に関して提示することができた。現場の指導者が活用できるような形で、OR手法による研究成果を再構成できたことは学術的に意義があると思われる。また、本研究により、選手評価に関してORの立場から間接的ではあるものの、現場を支援できたことは社会的に意義があると思われる。

Report

(7 results)
  • 2019 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (38 results)

All 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (1 results) Journal Article (7 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 6 results,  Open Access: 3 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 3 results) Presentation (30 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 10 results,  Invited: 3 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] University of Texas at Austin(米国)

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Game theoretic approach to analyze Japan’s “keep rolling the ball” tactic used in the 2018 FIFA World Cup group stage final matches in Russia2020

    • Author(s)
      Nobuyoshi Hirotsu and Ayako Komine
    • Journal Title

      Football Science

      Volume: ―

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Using a Markov Decision Process to Model the Value of the Sacrifice Bunt.2019

    • Author(s)
      Hirotsu N and Bickel JE
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports

      Volume: 15 Issue: 4 Pages: 327-344

    • DOI

      10.1515/jqas-2017-0092

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] サッカー選手のパフォーマンスを評価するDEAを活用した簡易指標の開発2018

    • Author(s)
      廣津信義、井口祐貴、吉村雅文
    • Journal Title

      順天堂スポーツ健康科学研究

      Volume: 9 Pages: 53-62

    • NAID

      40021943191

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] サッカー選手のパフォーマンスを評価する DEA を活用した簡易指標の開発2018

    • Author(s)
      廣津信義、井口祐貴、吉村雅文
    • Journal Title

      順天堂スポーツ健康科学研究

      Volume: 印刷中

    • NAID

      40021943191

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] A DEA Approach to Evaluating Characteristics of J-League Players in terms of Time played and Player Similarity2016

    • Author(s)
      Hirotsu N, Osawa K, Aoba Y, Yoshimura M
    • Journal Title

      Football Science

      Volume: 13 Pages: 9-25

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Calculation of Probability of Winning and Number of Games Played for Various Tournament Formats of the World Baseball Classic2015

    • Author(s)
      Hirotsu N, Osawa K and Miyaji C
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Computer Science in Sport

      Volume: 14 Pages: 87-101

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 野球の試合に関する確率のExcelシートを用いた表計算の方法2015

    • Author(s)
      廣津信義, 大澤清
    • Journal Title

      順天堂スポーツ健康科学研究

      Volume: 6 Pages: 70-85

    • NAID

      40020622353

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Presentation] Analysing the Effect of a Change of Transition Probabilities Related to Possession on Scoring a Goal in a Football Match2019

    • Author(s)
      Hirotsu N and Komine A
    • Organizer
      MathSport International 2019 Conference
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Identification of Team Characteristics in Rugby by Using Principal Component Analysis2019

    • Author(s)
      Kiuchi M, Shimozono H, Murakami J, Hayasaka K, Hirotsu N
    • Organizer
      Asia Pacific Conference on Performance Analysis of Sports 2019
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Analysing the Effect of a Change of Transition Rates Related to Possession on Probability of Winning a Soccer Game2019

    • Author(s)
      Hirotsu N and Komine A
    • Organizer
      2019年日本OR学会秋季研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 2018年サッカーワールドカップロシア大会1次リーグ最終戦での日本代表のパス回し戦術に関する考察-ゲーム理論を用いて-2019

    • Author(s)
      小宮根文子, 廣津信義
    • Organizer
      日本体育学会第70回大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 日本プロ野球選手における得点力・失点防止力に関する指標の考察2019

    • Author(s)
      織田大志, 廣津信義
    • Organizer
      日本体育学会第70回大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 日本プロ野球選手におけるプロでの成績とドラフト前の成績との関係2019

    • Author(s)
      織田大志, 廣津信義
    • Organizer
      日本野球科学研究会第7回大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Markov process approach for modeling a soccer game in the analysis of characteristics of teams2018

    • Author(s)
      Hirotsu N, Inoue K and Yamamoto K
    • Organizer
      The 29th European Conference on Operational Research
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Game theoretic modelling in sports.2018

    • Author(s)
      Hirotsu N
    • Organizer
      MathSport Asia 2018 International Conference
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Selection of players considering the characteristics of Japan team in the Super Rugby by using data envelopment analysis2018

    • Author(s)
      Kiuchi M and Hirotsu N
    • Organizer
      MathSport Asia 2018 International Conference
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] ピッチエリアを分割して見えるサッカーチームのパフォーマンス評価2018

    • Author(s)
      山本健司, 井上景太, 木内誠, 廣津信義, 吉村雅文
    • Organizer
      第16回日本フットボール学会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] サッカーW杯ロシア大会での日本代表の1次リーグ最終戦の戦術に関するゲーム理論的考察2018

    • Author(s)
      廣津信義 小宮根文子
    • Organizer
      第16回日本フットボール学会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] プレーの特徴を考慮したラグビー選手の評価2017

    • Author(s)
      木内誠,林莉奈,廣津信義
    • Organizer
      第6回スポーツデータ解析コンペティション審査会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Year and Date
      2017-03-20
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] An analysis of characteristics of soccer teams using a Markov process model considering the location of the ball on the pitch2017

    • Author(s)
      Hirotsu N. Inoue K, Yoshimura M.
    • Organizer
      MathSport International 2017 Conference
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 経営効率分析法(DEA)を利用したJリーグ選手の特徴の評価―規模の効率性、超効率性の観点からー2017

    • Author(s)
      廣津信義,青葉幸洋,吉村雅文
    • Organizer
      日本体育学会第68回大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] チームの特徴を考慮した選手の選択方法2017

    • Author(s)
      木内誠,前鼻啓史,廣津信義
    • Organizer
      日本体育学会第68回大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] サッカーにおけるピッチエリアを考慮したチーム特性の分析2017

    • Author(s)
      廣津信義, 井上景太, 吉村雅文
    • Organizer
      日本オペレーションズ・リサーチ学会2017年秋季研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] プレーの特徴を考慮したラグビー選手の評価2016

    • Author(s)
      木内誠,林莉奈,廣津信義
    • Organizer
      第6回スポーツデータ解析コンペティション
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Year and Date
      2016-12-18
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Team Evaluation in Japan Rugby Top League2016

    • Author(s)
      Kiuchi M, Hirotsu N, Maehana H
    • Organizer
      The 1st Japan-Korea Joint Congress on Science and Football
    • Place of Presentation
      福岡
    • Year and Date
      2016-10-15
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] DEAを利用したサッカー選手の簡易的な評価指標の開発2016

    • Author(s)
      廣津信義, 井口祐貴, 吉村雅文
    • Organizer
      2016年日本OR学会秋季研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      山形
    • Year and Date
      2016-09-15
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 統計解析を用いたラグビー選手の評価とDEAを用いた評価指標の開発2016

    • Author(s)
      木内誠, 廣津信義
    • Organizer
      2016年日本OR学会秋季研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      山形
    • Year and Date
      2016-09-15
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] ジャパントップリーグの選手評価に関する研究2016

    • Author(s)
      木内誠, 廣津信義, 前鼻啓史, 鷲谷浩輔
    • Organizer
      日本体育学会第67回大会
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪
    • Year and Date
      2016-08-24
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Analysis of Game Statistics on Teams and Players in Japan Rugby Top League2016

    • Author(s)
      Kiuchi M, Hirotsu N
    • Organizer
      The 13th Australasian Conference on Mathematics and Computers in Sport
    • Place of Presentation
      Melbourne
    • Year and Date
      2016-07-11
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 野球・サッカー・ラグビーの選手評価2016

    • Author(s)
      廣津信義,木内誠
    • Organizer
      オペレーションズ・リサーチ学会北海道支部サマースクール 2016
    • Place of Presentation
      函館
    • Year and Date
      2016-06-08
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Measuring efficiency of a set of players of a baseball team and differentiating players’ performances by their reference frequency2016

    • Author(s)
      Hirotsu N
    • Organizer
      日本オペレーションズリサーチ学会
    • Place of Presentation
      慶應義塾大学
    • Year and Date
      2016-03-17
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] タイプ別にみる日本プロ野球の投手の評価2016

    • Author(s)
      岸純平, 廣津信義
    • Organizer
      日本オペレーションズリサーチ学会
    • Place of Presentation
      慶應義塾大学
    • Year and Date
      2016-03-17
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] A Method for Calculating Probability of Scores for Men’s Team Competition in Artistic Gymnastics2015

    • Author(s)
      Hirotsu N, Harada M and Kano M
    • Organizer
      12th International Symposium on Operations Research and its Application
    • Place of Presentation
      Luoyang, China
    • Year and Date
      2015-08-21
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Measuring Efficiency of a Set of Players of a Soccer Team and Differentiating Players’Performances by their Reference Frequency2015

    • Author(s)
      Hirotsu N and Ueda T
    • Organizer
      5th International Conference on Mathematics in Sport
    • Place of Presentation
      Loughborough, UK
    • Year and Date
      2015-06-29
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 表計算による球技の試合の確率算出の方法2014

    • Author(s)
      廣津信義
    • Organizer
      日本オペレーションズ・リサーチ学会
    • Place of Presentation
      北海道科学大学
    • Year and Date
      2014-08-28 – 2014-08-29
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 野球の試合における簡易的な確率計算の方法―Excelのsheetを利用した表計算―2014

    • Author(s)
      廣津信義
    • Organizer
      日本体育学会
    • Place of Presentation
      岩手大学
    • Year and Date
      2014-08-25 – 2014-08-28
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] DEA とスポーツチーム・選手の評価2014

    • Author(s)
      廣津信義
    • Organizer
      日本オペレーションズリサーチ学会北海道支部
    • Place of Presentation
      斜里町公民館
    • Year and Date
      2014-08-06 – 2014-08-07
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report

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Published: 2014-04-04   Modified: 2022-01-24  

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