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Structural changes in Africa: an approach from labor cost gap

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15K03498
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Economic policy
Research InstitutionInstitute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization

Principal Investigator

Fukunishi Takahiro  独立行政法人日本貿易振興機構アジア経済研究所, 地域研究センターアフリカ研究グループ, 研究グループ長 (80450526)

Project Period (FY) 2015-04-01 – 2019-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2018)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,550,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,050,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,820,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥420,000)
Keywords産業構造変化 / 労働移動 / 賃金 / アフリカ / 労働コスト / 工業化 / 都市と農村
Outline of Final Research Achievements

In this project, we made the hypothesis that large urban-rural gap in labor costs explains the stagnant structural changes in African countries. Through review of the relevant literature, we found the empirical evidences showing that urban-rural gap in labor productivity is larger among low-income countries, which is consistent with our hypothesis. To explore mechanisms of the urban-rural gaps, we investigate internal labor migration in Ethiopia through estimating correlation between changes in labor supply and employment rate within a city. Significant correlations are estimated, which indicate that rural-to-urban migration is likely small among young workers. These results are indirect evidence of the hypothesis and direct tests are left for future work due to data limitation.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

アフリカ諸国においていまだに農業が就業者数で最大の産業である理由について、決定的な説明は提供されていない。先行研究では、アジア諸国と比較してガバナンスや投資環境がアフリカにおいて劣っていることを理由として挙げてきたが、それらは経済成長の結果として改善される側面がある。本研究では、所得水準が同じ程度の国の間で、アフリカとそのほかの地域で労働コストが異なることに注目した点に特徴がある。データの制約から仮説を直接実証することはできなかったが、他分野の先行研究や独自の実証分析から、間接的に仮説を支持する結果が得られた。より明確なエビデンスを得ることが今後の課題である。

Report

(5 results)
  • 2018 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (11 results)

All 2019 2018 2017 2016

All Journal Article (8 results) (of which Open Access: 7 results,  Peer Reviewed: 1 results) Presentation (2 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Invited: 1 results) Book (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] 資料紹介:The Impacts of Industrial and Entrepreneurial Work on Income and Health: Experimental Evidence from Ethiopia2019

    • Author(s)
      福西隆弘
    • Journal Title

      アフリカレポート

      Volume: 57 Pages: 21-21

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Jennifer Alix-Garcia, Sarah Walker, Anne Bartlett, Harun Onderd, and Apurva Sanghie, “Do Refugee Camps Help or Hurt Hosts? The Case of Kakuma, Kenya,” <i>Journal of Development Economics</i>, Vol. 130, 2018.2018

    • Author(s)
      福西隆弘
    • Journal Title

      Africa Report

      Volume: 56 Issue: 0 Pages: 82-82

    • DOI

      10.24765/africareport.56.0_82

    • NAID

      130007618120

    • ISSN
      0911-5552, 2188-3238
    • Year and Date
      2018-07-20
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Vocational Education and Employment Outcomes in Ethiopia: Displacement Effects in Local Labor Markets2017

    • Author(s)
      Takahiro Fukunishi and with Tomohiro Machikita
    • Journal Title

      IDE Discussion Paper

      Volume: No. 678 Pages: 1-44

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] The consequence of educational reform on youth employment: evidence from an enrollment increase in vocational training in Ethiopia2017

    • Author(s)
      Takahiro Fukunishi and with Tomohiro Machikita
    • Journal Title

      IDE Discussion Paper

      Volume: 679 Pages: 1-30

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 経済発展の持続に向けて:産業構造の多様化への高い壁2016

    • Author(s)
      福西隆弘
    • Journal Title

      国際問題

      Volume: 650 Pages: 6-16

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 職業教育の就業に対する効果:分析フレームワークの整理2016

    • Author(s)
      福西隆弘
    • Journal Title

      アフリカ教育研究

      Volume: 7号 Pages: 41-55

    • NAID

      130008051323

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] アフリカでは都市化が進んでいない!労働移動と経済成長2016

    • Author(s)
      福西隆弘
    • Journal Title

      アジ研ワールド・トレンド

      Volume: 249号 Pages: 40-41

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 経済成長の持続に向けて:産業多様化への高い壁2016

    • Author(s)
      福西隆弘
    • Journal Title

      国際問題

      Volume: 650 Pages: 6-16

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Presentation] マダガスカルにおける輸出向け縫製産業とその労働者2019

    • Author(s)
      福西隆弘
    • Organizer
      第23回マダガスカル研究懇談会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Vocational Education and Employment Outcomes in Ethiopia: Displacement Effects in Local Labor Markets2018

    • Author(s)
      Takahiro Fukunishi
    • Organizer
      Annual Bank Conference on Africa (World Bank and Center for Global Development, Stanford University)
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Book] 『アフリカ』(世界地誌シリーズ8)2017

    • Author(s)
      島田周平、上田元、福西隆弘、西浦昭雄ほか
    • Total Pages
      525
    • Publisher
      朝倉書店
    • ISBN
      9784254169287
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report

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Published: 2015-04-16   Modified: 2020-03-30  

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