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Study on the economic impacts of the Tokai earthquake measures

Research Project

Project/Area Number 25590065
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Challenging Exploratory Research

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Public finance/Public economy
Research InstitutionKyushu University

Principal Investigator

Miyazaki Takeshi  九州大学, 経済学研究院, 准教授 (40458485)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 大谷 竜  国立研究開発法人産業技術総合研究所, その他部局等, 研究員 (50356648)
Research Collaborator YAMADA TOSHIHIRO  応用アール・エム・エス株式会社
TAKASUGI TSUYOSHI  応用アール・エム・エス株式会社
OHNO TAICHI  応用アール・エム・エス株式会社
Project Period (FY) 2013-04-01 – 2017-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2016)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,340,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥540,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Keywords東海地震 / 大規模地震対策特別措置法 / 地震財特法 / 政策評価 / 耐震化 / 仮想現実アプローチ / 住宅の耐震化 / 南海トラフ巨大地震 / 地震被害想定 / 公共施設
Outline of Final Research Achievements

The objective of this study is to evaluate whether the Tokai earthquake measures, which have been implemented since 1980, have mitigated disaster damages from an economic viewpoint. We obtain the following results. The disaster mitigation effects of Tokai earthquake measures on housing are 18 billion JPY (about 0.18 billion USD) for Yamanashi and 0.26 trillion JPY (2.6 billion USD) for Shizuoka. A simple before-after comparison biases estimates of the mitigation effect. The Tokai earthquake measures statistically do not mitigate housing damage predicted in the event of the Tokai earthquake.

Report

(5 results)
  • 2016 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (6 results)

All 2016 2015 2014

All Journal Article (2 results) Presentation (4 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results)

  • [Journal Article] 東海地震対策の民間住宅における減災効果:プログラム評価アプローチ2015

    • Author(s)
      大谷竜・宮崎毅・大野大地・高杉剛・山田敏博
    • Journal Title

      2015年度日本災害情報学会予稿集

      Volume: 1 Pages: 58-59

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 東日本大震災における年齢別死者数と津波の規模:小地域統計による基礎的考察2014

    • Author(s)
      宮崎 毅
    • Journal Title

      経済学研究

      Volume: 第81巻第4号 Pages: 135-149

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Estimating Local Fiscal Revenues and Needs for the Nankai Trough Earthquake2016

    • Author(s)
      Takeshi Miyazaki, Shingo Nagamatsu
    • Organizer
      The 4th International Conference on Urban Disaster Reduction
    • Place of Presentation
      Wellington, New Zealand
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 東海地震対策の民間住宅における減災効果:プログラム評価アプローチ2015

    • Author(s)
      大谷竜
    • Organizer
      2015年度日本災害情報学会第17回学会大会
    • Place of Presentation
      甲府市総合市民会館(山梨県甲府市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-24
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Estimating Mitigation Effect of the Tokai Earthquake Measures on Private Housing: A Program Evaluation Approach2014

    • Author(s)
      宮崎 毅
    • Organizer
      日本応用経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      中央大学(東京都八王子市)
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-15
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Kizuna or NIMBY? :Empirical Studies on Strategic Interaction among Municipality Governments over Disaster Wastes after the Great East Japan Earthquake of 20112014

    • Author(s)
      Takeshi Miyazaki
    • Organizer
      he 70th Congress of the International Institute of Public Finance
    • Place of Presentation
      Lugano, Switzerland
    • Year and Date
      2014-08-22
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report

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Published: 2014-07-25   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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