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Source Modeling of Strong Ground Motion Prediction for Megathrust Earthquake Sequence

Research Project

Project/Area Number 25750143
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Natural disaster / Disaster prevention science
Research InstitutionThe University of Tokyo

Principal Investigator

MIYAKE Hiroe  東京大学, 大学院情報学環, 准教授 (90401265)

Project Period (FY) 2013-04-01 – 2016-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2015)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,510,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥810,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥1,950,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥450,000)
Keywords地震動 / 超巨大地震 / 東北地方太平洋沖地震 / 震源 / 強震動予測 / ハザード
Outline of Final Research Achievements

Broadband source modeling for predicting ground motions is a key role for seismic hazard assessment. Recent megathrust earthquakes motivated us to establish a recipe for subduction earthquake scenarios. Based on slip inversions, scaling of source parameters and acceleration source spectral levels, we propose candidates for the broadband source of subduction earthquakes: Single-corner or double-corner characterized source models. The latter model, where the size and stress drop for short-period source patches are respectively 1/N times and N times of those for long-period source patches, worked to reproduce broadband ground motions for megathrust earthquakes. The short-period source patches partly superimpose on the long-period source patches for M8-class, then shift to the edge of the long-period source patches for M9-class earthquakes with increasing N value.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2015 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (17 results)

All 2016 2015 2014 2013 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (3 results) Journal Article (5 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 4 results,  Open Access: 1 results) Presentation (9 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Invited: 3 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] パリ地球物理研究所IPGP(フランス)

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] ネバダ大学リノ校(米国)

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] ECGS(ルクセンブルク)

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] An Overview of Source Models from Strong Motion Records of the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake2016

    • Author(s)
      三宅弘恵、浅野公之、纐纈一起、岩田知孝
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Association for Earthquake Engineering

      Volume: 16 Issue: 4 Pages: 4_12-4_21

    • DOI

      10.5610/jaee.16.4_12

    • NAID

      130005142683

    • ISSN
      1884-6246
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Long-period ground motion simulation of a subduction earthquake using the offshore-onshore ambient seismic field2015

    • Author(s)
      Viens, L., H. H. Miyake, and K. Koketsu
    • Journal Title

      Geophysical Research Letters

      Volume: 42 Issue: 13 Pages: 5282-5289

    • DOI

      10.1002/2015gl064265

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Between-event variance for large repeating earthquakes2015

    • Author(s)
      Yagoda-Biran G., J. G. Anderson, H. Miyake, and K. Koketsu
    • Journal Title

      Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America

      Volume: 105 Issue: 4 Pages: 2023-2040

    • DOI

      10.1785/0120140196

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Structural and thermal control of seismic activity and megathrust rupture dynamics in subduction zones: Lessons from the Mw 9.0, 2011 Tohoku earthquake2014

    • Author(s)
      Satriano, C., V. Dionicio, H. Miyake, N. Uchida, J.-P. Vilotte, and P. Bernard
    • Journal Title

      Earth Planet. Sci. Lett.

      Volume: 403 Pages: 287-298

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.epsl.2014.06.037

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] An overview of the 2011 Tohoku earthquake rupture models2013

    • Author(s)
      Miyake, H.
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the International Workshop of Japan Association for Earthquake Engineering on the Effects of Surface Geology on Strong Ground Motion

      Volume: - Pages: 1-23

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Ground motion prediction equations empowered by stress drop measurement2015

    • Author(s)
      Miyake, H., and A. Oth
    • Organizer
      2015 AGU Fall Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      サンフランシスコ(米国)
    • Year and Date
      2015-12-14
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Characterized source modeling of crustal earthquakes for broadband ground motion prediction2015

    • Author(s)
      Miyake, H., and K. Irikura
    • Organizer
      Workshop on Best Practices in Physics-Based Fault Rupture Models for Seismic Hazard Assessment of Nuclear Installations
    • Place of Presentation
      ウィーン(オーストリア)
    • Year and Date
      2015-11-18
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Recipe for predicting strong ground motion from subduction earthquake scenarios2015

    • Author(s)
      Miyake, H., K. Koketsu, and K. Irikura
    • Organizer
      SSA 2015 Annual Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      パサデナ(米国)
    • Year and Date
      2015-04-21 – 2015-04-23
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Postdiction of source model and ground motions for the 2011 Tohoku earthquake2014

    • Author(s)
      Miyake, H., and K. Koketsu
    • Organizer
      AOGS 11th Annual Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      ロイトン札幌(北海道札幌市)
    • Year and Date
      2014-07-28 – 2014-08-01
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Source time functions of worldwide megathrust earthquakes

    • Author(s)
      Miyake, H., and Y. Hisada
    • Organizer
      International Workshop on the New Initiative toward the Advancement of Strong Motion, Site Effect, and Risk Evaluation Studies for Future Mega-Quakes
    • Place of Presentation
      Kyoto, Japan
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Spatial and temporal stress drop variations of the 2011 Tohoku earthquake sequence

    • Author(s)
      Miyake, H.
    • Organizer
      2013 AGU Fall Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      San Francisco, USA
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 2011年東北地方太平洋沖地震前後の応力降下の時空間変化

    • Author(s)
      三宅弘恵
    • Organizer
      日本地震学会講演2013年度秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      横浜
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Postdiction of source model and ground motions for the 2011 Tohoku earthquake

    • Author(s)
      Miyake, H., and K. Koketsu
    • Organizer
      Joint Symposium of Seismic Hazard Asssessment
    • Place of Presentation
      Sendai, Japan
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] How geometry and structure control the rupture dynamics of the Mw 9.0 Tohoku earthquake

    • Author(s)
      Scala, A, G. Festa, J. P. Vilotte, and H. Miyake
    • Organizer
      IAHS-IAPSO-IASPEI Joint Assembly
    • Place of Presentation
      Gothenburg, Sweden
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report

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Published: 2014-07-25   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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